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Bubbler86

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Everything posted by Bubbler86

  1. Bubbler86
    On this subject, the Nam's have been too cool almost all summer and continue into the fall. Definitely something to watch for if they are they only ones calling for an icing event on a future system. Its been almost every day they are several degrees too cool.
  2. Bubbler86
    Well the Nam does not go out that far of course. But if we are going to have days in the 50's and 60's, make it on the weekend.
  3. Bubbler86
    12Z Nam is a shorts day tomorrow which is good news IMO. No precip around anyway.
  4. Bubbler86
    There is a guy in the Pitt thread, @Ahoff with a similar predicament as you. Wants a "Get out of jail free" card on rooting for snow so they can travel.
  5. Bubbler86
    That should just about cover it all. Done and Done
  6. Bubbler86
    That seems to be the way it rolls. The warnings are the events that under produce. 40 and sunny here...feels like a 50's day.
  7. Bubbler86
    35-40 degree difference. Mid 70's vs. near 40 (MDT).
  8. Bubbler86
    Well we will need better from your 540 line...if I could put that request in? One good piece of news is that the record high for Monday is 73 and I doubt MDT breaks 70 so we probably do not reach that one either. No reason to add stamps of bad onto the winter so quickly.
  9. Bubbler86
    Sterling did well with it though the under forecast farther east.
  10. Bubbler86
    News extended the advisory into Franklin County PA.
  11. Bubbler86
    You sir, have ruined my dinner.
  12. Bubbler86
    Jersey Shore will be abuzz with beach goers.
  13. Bubbler86
    The GFS on TT is not even to the Wed storm yet but the PAweather 540 line is north of the LSV prior to the system so that is all I need to see unfortunately.
  14. Bubbler86
    Clouds moving in here. Made it to 63 but going back now. Look at Cap City sitting at 63 and MDT at 61. That 67 record was not "too" far from being challenged.
  15. Bubbler86
    I have been leaning more warminista (in a sense of how I think it may go vs. what I want) so far late fall and early winter so not really panhandling around looking for snow in places I will not find any. But I do post what the models show regardless of how correct they may end up. More importantly, let's use the word tricks instead of trix, right chief? LOL
  16. Bubbler86
    240 Euro is not good news but not nearly as bad as the GFS. SER is there but displaced hundreds of miles to the east. Need it displaced more for good news.
  17. Bubbler86
    Atomic is already crafting a reply to the bolded area. I do agree that if one wants to forecast long range and go with blended averages, the tellies are a much better route than the models.
  18. Bubbler86
    It was not directed at your post, it was directed at the teleconnection forecasting being as limited as ground truth forecasting. Lots of erroneous assumptions made based on past performances of the numbers. With that said, I do not like the look of Mid Dec at all just because the models are all bailing on it.
  19. Bubbler86
    4-6" in Palmyra.
  20. Bubbler86
    It turns to rain eventually but a good tracker for now.
  21. Bubbler86
    I am still stuck in my LSV way of thinking, I will try to do better. I cannot get out to Mag and include you unless I have less stations. The board balks at the pic size.
  22. Bubbler86
    Just coming in and looking exciting for the Wed storm.
  23. Bubbler86
    I think we all busted too low (those that made any type of forecast). Its overachieving. Big surprise.
  24. Bubbler86
    It's not done on purpose, just my old way of doing things, sorry. I cannot expand them too much though as it gets too large but can include you.
  25. Bubbler86
    61 here, Cap City 60, MDT 58. Getting some upper 60's in Franklin now. Those AM clouds did nothing to stop it.
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