Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Its over. The last model run was bad. But if the next model run is good then it was never over until the next bad model run. Science, schmicience
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Some forecasters will not use globals within 72 hours. They are a blunt object vs the fine tuned meso's. Does not mean any one model is right.
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It's over jns. We do not need science follow models.
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I thought the flooring guys were some third party gang of internet posters who got a radio station contract and changed their forecast every 6 hours? The flooring guys did not seem like professional met forecasts.
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RE a typical winter.
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The MA thread wants to be taken seriously yet we see some questionable analysis over the 30-60 min. Frustrating to say the least. Hopefully the good posters are back soon. At this point it is whatever model has run last over there.
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Don't worry about the good info from bubbler and grandmaster.
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The GFS was not Happy this hour... slightly regressing from the 12Z. As JNS pointed out the lowest level of pressures are way south.
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I remember the Rgem or HRRR 24 hours ago had you in the mid to upper 60's.
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It has feelings and does not like being called a kicker.
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On my maps it is farther South but not as much East. Nam is in Ohio and that is centered to the west.
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I think it misses by a county or two but yes, this "kicker" is the key if we do not get a WAA bomb like the Nam shows.
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I think we needed this 100 miles farther East.
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Thanks. I upped my post after first draft to show the major north shift.
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Icon 999 low just south of the VA Capes and little snow here. Right....Das Verruckt. Icon was actually a LOT more snow here (near M/D line over into Lanco) than 12Z though.
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In this case nothing is leading the way, IMO. It is models having difficulty with gauging the pattern.
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It is much windier than Florida that is for sure.
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Ralph Wiggum has pulled his pants back up and re-buckled.
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No where near over at this point as the low is captured and moving North.
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1046 High still centered in Canada at hour 81 on the Nam.
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NAM is a school canceler for Wed. Kids get your shorts on for summer school.
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540 line in Central VA on 63 Nam., Bueno. Snow starting in the LSV daybreak Wed.
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Low is in N Central MS (at least the Northern side of it).
