Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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39 this Am. The rain conveniently started up again just after midnight but only .3 more for a 5-day running total of 2.4". Less than 2" for the work week. No flooding over this way. Close Approx. (may be missing .01 or .02 either way) three-day work week running totals for Major NWS Spots. This includes up until 7:30 this AM. AOO: 2.87 LNS: 2.52 MDT: 2.43 CXY: 2.16 HGR: 1.65
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HRRR has LSV 1-2" overnight/tomorrow in 3 different waves of rain.
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Up to 2.10" since Saturday.
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Assuming the 5 min readings are right, here are the NWS totals so far today. This is from midnight to now: THV-1.19" LNS-1.16" MDT-1.15" CXY-.99" HGR-.54"
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Even the grass is mostly dry here now. Has not rained outside a few drops and drizzle since early morning. The HRRR minors out the precip in SW PA right now such that it is just light over the LSV....next decent rain for the LSV not until 2-3AM and not until after rush hour down here tomorrow. Today played out quite a bit differently than I expected as of yesterday.
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Some people may get more precip Thursday than they do today. Those pop up showers mean business and could drop 1/2 to 1" if you catch several.
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The radar is fairly clear back to Western Ohio and Kentucky...in a PA context. The area in WV still headed mainly south of us as of now. Not doubt there will be showers and blobs of rain that pass or form, but I am not seeing any concentrated several hour strat rains the rest of the day/during daylight. That 2-3 MORE inches of rain headline does not seem overly likely here. The main roads are dry down this way.
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By the looks of radar and meso's, we are not getting a lot more rain down this way until tomorrow AM.
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Wow, I was ahead of you on the 4-day total coming into last night. I am still ahead of MDT but you are crushing them as they look like they around 1.7 for all of Mon and Tue.
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You are going to pass my since Saturday total which is still at 2" after mostly drizzle for the past 5 hours,
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Still thinking, for severe threat, this is our main show tomorrow around this time. Nam has the line forming far enough back to threaten all of the LSV.
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HRRR and 3K have the primarily missing us and the LSV (the intensity.)
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The HRRR had rain up your way this AM as well. Just not much down here besides some random lines of showers and so far it has been spot on. We have had less than 1/10" of rain since the main area moved out early.
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EB Nooners. We are at our low for the day of 42 degrees and quite dark/low clouds and drizzle. Looks like some decent precip moving in for Central and Northern LSV
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The other thing I should mention is that my comment was for Mitch and I. Harrisburg and north has more rain today on the HRRR. The 3K is all around rainy for everyone after lunch. Latest HRRR for tomorrow is still showing the high winds to the mostly east of the susky as the gust front gets going too later for west of there.
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Yea, definitely some drizzle just not an all-day accumulating rain on the mesos. We have had drizzle here for an hour or two now.
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HRRR just has a few showers/couple line of showers from that area before the developing vort in the TN Valley starts to affect us tonight. Some models continue to push major effects tomorrow further to the east. We are getting easterlies gusting to 35 right now.
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HRRR says except for some scattered showers/a line or two of showers, the rain is done down here until overnight/very late evening.
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44 this Am and about .65-7 of new rain making the 4 day total around 2" now. Lots of thunder but not seeing much lightning.
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I think much of that is also reliant upon what the forming Tue night low does. The GFS wind maps showed much of the more active area in front of the low veering to the east of some of the LSV. Also, maybe that MDT in Ohio can more consistently reflect our areas temps?
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The funny part is it is not entirely impossible for someone to see 1-2" of snow this week (especially father north) so I thought you just hit ' instead of ".
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Nooners...back to Mostly Cloudy and 50 degrees.
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I think Wed is the make or break as to if this week is excessive. If that low forms a bit farther East, it may just be crappy here with less rain than would happen if the shield extends back over us.
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It became partly to mostly sunny here not long after I posted that.
