Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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4.5" at Harrisburg Saturday AM alone.
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I meant on the model...it was around 3/4" to 1" for you at 4 or 5PM. Was comparing what it was suggesting would still fall.
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If the HH GFS has a CCB of SN++ in the LSV on Sunday (like the Icon) it is going to raise the stakes for this weekend. Still LSV snow mid day tomorrow.
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That is 3-4 additional as well. Only 1-2 on the ground at 4PM for you and West.
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Damn...
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I have to stay positive so DDweatherman does not misjudge me again
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Here is the kind of stuff that keeps showing on meso's. I would consider this part of "this storm".
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That was all they ever had for me. 1" today and 1-2 overnight. 2-3 total.
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Your spell check is throwing you under the bus. LOL.
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The Low, albeit weak, is over Alabama/GA border (or maybe into GA now) right now. Whether through progression or transfer, not off the VA Capes until 11PM-Midnight.
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This is all basically bonus snow IMO. We are not getting 2-4 or 3-6 without some influence overnight from the low as it passes by to the SE. If the current radar is the entire system and snow moves out soon, then yea, this is a bust. MU is talking about snow really getting going around 6 and it is laying down hard in Southern Lanco since 3.
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18Z Icon has 3-4 additional inches Harrisburg and south....just for fun. This includes snow into tomorrow AM daylight. A nice band sets up over South PA after midnight.
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The early killer band has moved SE of me. Still in Southern Adams, York and Lanco. Roads just wet but grass is about 2/3 covered so looking at ~ 1.5" so far. Central VA being jam-blasted.
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Still Sn+ and approaching an inch on surfaces that have been accumulating. Some snow on sides of driveways now.
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It is a hell of a lot better than using any globals within 6 hours of an event. Within 6 hours the 12k Nam gets used 100/100 times vs any global. Right now is the Nam's wheel house short of comparing it with the 3K which is no better than this though just less smoothed.
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Both Nams have some holes on the N/W flank of the snow that is going to cut down accums in Cumberland and N Franklin. Lower across the board actually.
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18Z Nam has full on rain for Lanco to start.
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Sn+ in Dubois (radar)
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Does not matter what I get as long as I get 3". Need most of the LSV to get 3" too or it is a bust. Going to need larger flakes or less sun for the roads to start accumulating.
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The band set up over me right now looks transient though.
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Sn+ albeit smaller flakes right now. Between 1/4 and 1/2" on elevated surfaces, grass, etc. No accums on pavement yet. Still 29.
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MDT is 33 and CXY 34 or 35.
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18Z HRRR expects almost all the returns through PA to collapse in the next hour or two. Seems doubtful.
