Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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The thing, there is a slug of moisture on most globals and it minors out as it comes under us leaving us to hope for an intensification like you suggested.
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I do not even have to look at the GFS with the last few posts . Nothing about a big dog.
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No comment x 10.
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So is the Copilot GFS but I felt a bit of lessening credence being given to the AI's lately so did not say much.
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Icon looks dangerous at 102.
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LOL...of rain? I finally bought in for tomorrow and it is falling apart.
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Pretty much, I suck.
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I felt pretty sure we would get a gyre from him today.
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For tomorrow, 3K fell more in line with other meso's with 1-3" in the middle and Northern parks of the LSV. 12K as well. 12K moved the "fall line" for snow north about 1/2 county across the board due to dry slotting. 12K has a jackpot of 2-4" NE of Harrisburg closer to Accuchris and paweather.
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18Z Nam moved the snow start time up even a bit more. Western LSV by 7AM now.
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That is the info I personally like to see. Gives us an idea of where the margins are coming from. An exciting number in my opinion though still definitely cause for restrain.
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That may be one SB and one Fantasy League win :-)
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No one could give you an accurate call on that but meso's have temps in the mid 30's by that point. They did over state high temps a bit last time we had an ice type storm.
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This is one of the rare (in memory) times the last few years that a solution was shown, it went away, and then came back...in this case a more wintery vs. dry or wet day tomorrow. Saturday looked quite wintery several days ago and slowed leaked to almost nothing...and is now back in full force.
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It was 29 here the last storm and roads were fine. But like you said, heavy snow could change that...or heavy sleet.
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Sounds like a Penn State football fan going to a playoff game!
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I think part of my reasoning is that if we used forecasters it would not be as fun of a hobby (for some.) re: if someone is just parroting DT or MU is that really fun when it comes to informing friends and family? This is specific to the question from festus, where would you get info to pass to others. Frankly WGAL, which I have on in the back ground most nights, gives as much or more detail as any other forecaster. They are the "weather authority" for TV around here. LOL.
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I agree with your assessment in sentence 1. WGAL is the most watched and listened to weather "forecaster" in the area. Many people who just want to know the weather for their daily needs would not like the dry and often changing NWS Zone forecasts and do not know how or want to look at the AFD. I always assumed most here use models vs. forecasters.
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Temps are at or above freezing so roads should be ok. Just checked as I may need to be out.
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16 this Am.
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I think I am a day or two away from being able to go out again. You are sick now?
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No snow here the rest of the month. Let's try to do better. LOL.
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Sounds like your 0's and 1's are broken!
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Look at the heavy snow in south and central Lanco for Sat on the 18Z GFS. Does not match that map you posted. Weird.
