Bubbler86

79 for nooners here.

I was looking at your Mid Jun through Mid July numbers. Almost all were BN when compared to Norms at MDT. Think you had one 88 day so one AN. Almost all the others were BN compred to MDT's norm that day.

I am using MDT's average number so there is a little fudging but our highest temp has been 87 (since June 17th). I just checked out Cashtown and he is the same or similar. Little or no AN normal days for over a month.

I am hoping I stay at 87 below to take my BN normal streak to 31 days. pretty amazing streak if you ask me. No AN days in over a month! 74 here right now.

I am officially punting today as a hot day over my way. It feels too good out/only 70 right now. 86-88 sure...average.

DP is 66 at MDT right now. Not great but not too bad IMO.

Yea, it sorts of lines up with what you said you felt this AM. May not be an overly humid day today if they are right. HRRR has them dropping all day. Here is 4PM.

A decent 63 this Am. HRRR and GFS have DP's dropping into the 50's/near 60 this afternoon (LSV) with temps topping around average in the upper 80's so probably some low 90's in the hot spots. RGEM also stays in the 80's. Zones also have temps staying below 90 except Lanco which is right on 90 where I clicked.

I do not question that but it is too easy here for clouds or rains to spoil a warm day. Models are barely over 90 (or not) several of the next 7 days (did not check euro)

LOL. I am definitely taking under on that.

CXY just perked up.

Yea, something put the wham jam on this being a big event. Score one for Voyager.

Well...lol. It may not even be over. Just reporting the models sudden drop of a sig line.

High of 82 here today. That runs my current streak of at or below normal days to 30 consecutive using MDT standards. The last above normal day was June 17th. Wed may break that streak.

The 3K and HRRR are now saying it is mostly over for us S Central PA people...maybe a stray storm crops up but they have removed the line concept from their depictions. Voyager may have been right.

Next week is where I am really worried. Can it be 77 at MDT and 100 at Dulles? Counting on rain is always a worry.

HRRR actually has the MD stuff cut over York at its Northern Extent. But I agree it does not look overly enthusiastic for a big squall line

Interesting convo on the heat wave classification during one of my morning calls. Pretty much 100% agreement that getting 3 degrees over normal is not a heat wave. LOL. The thought was in mid to late July, it would need to hit 100 at MDT to get into Heat Wave area OR change the classification to HI. SVR Watch for SE PA.

So like a Saturday night at the Candersons.

I am not sure where in AZ but checked Phoenix and they only get 8-9" a year. There are storms that drop more than that in the Northeast on (rare) occasion.

Better start seeing some more activity pop up soon. Models have that area in Western PA dying off and a new line forming in Central PA.

Out in Arizona its going to be a lot easier....Dry, dry, and dry.

Here is the part where I mentioned I am on the line and surely them means I am included :-)

Early nooners. 77 and cloudy in Pen Mar. MDT is 79.

Not sure, just saw the Green on the NWS. Let's check the verbiage. By the way some sweet sweet 50's DP's tomorrow on the HRRR and GFS. ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, Maryland and northern Virginia, including the following areas: in DC, District of Columbia. In Maryland, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore. In northern Virginia, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From 4 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Afternoon to evening showers and thunderstorms may produce very heavy rainfall capable of flash flooding. This could include multiple rounds of storms which would enhance the flood risk. Rainfall rates may reach 1 to 2 inches per hour, locally higher in spots. The D.C. and Baltimore metros will be the most susceptible given recent heavy rainfall the past couple of weeks. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood