Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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When a fireperson says you do not need to water, that is a good indication as he is our SME on water.
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I personally do not think it is something to get excited about but its also not a dry day for everyone....so I am saying there is a chance. LOL
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GFS drops a 2.75" bomb on the Delmarva. SPC going with possible watches for LSV https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1454.html Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...The overall severe threat should gradually increase into the afternoon, with both damaging winds and hail possible. One or more Severe Thunderstorm Watches will probably be needed.
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A few of the 12Z models are focusing the qpf on the LSV now as well.
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I think there are two different influences there but the front itself would be in MD per the models...where the energy would be to interact with the heating. The Central PA area seems to be in the gap.
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Flood watch for NE MD.
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Those lower dews are probably a big factor in more people worried about D word stuff.
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The thing I have noticed is MUCH less AC needs in the morning this summer. Constant nights in the 50's.
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I have all the empathy in the world. It sucks. Farmers can get help sometimes but the regular home owner is just SOL if trying to grow stuff. Low of 57 here this AM. 65 now. Long way to go for 90.
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Finger crossed but yea the front has been scooting through a bit fast the whole time so Northern areas were tougher. If you scan through the Nam, CMC, Gfs, etc...you will see they some showers popping up every day this week albeit it scattered. Friday is the least and not in the LSV. More solid area of rain this weekend.
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TBD! 6Z was a slight step back for more northern areas. For varying areas of PA, there is actually a chance of rain (on most models) every day for the next 7-10 days. Scattered most days
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0Z's I have seen so far all seemed encouraging for tomorrow. Both Nam's expanded coverage for the LSV, fv3 was great coverage Harrisburg and South and the Rgem had better coverage. All delayed the front enough to allow more interaction farther north.
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Not as bad as Crypto.com arena
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It seems north and central PA over achieved vs some of the southern one third. I heard the red zone is now the actuary zone in Pitt?
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That seems like a very low threshold record for mid July.
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There you go back into double digits. A cool 82 here.
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Euro suggests tomorrow will be the coolest (or close to it) day the rest of the week.
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Check out the FV3 depiction and what could happen if the front slows just little bit more. Line of Goodness just to our south. As is, cancel the afternoon Cafe Latte's in Ellicott City.
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Was just outside and it is indeed a dandy. 80 and fairly low humidity. With only two 90 days over this way (Maybe 3 tomorrow) half way through summer I find it hard to complain about heat...and I have been lucky with rain here as well. Fingers crossed the Northern LSV gets trained tomorrow or Wed night. (Edit-This includes Pillow and the more Northern Voyager as well as our Williamsport gang.)
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I hope some of us break 1" in cells tomorrow and sneaky Wed night rains. Compared to the Drought a few summers ago, getting rain 1-2 days a week is not great but not like the several week period where many had literally no rain. Some ended up with just 2-3" of rain over a 3 month period.
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Certainly does not look great if one misses out tomorrow and/or Wed.
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The meso's still show rain tomorrow. Fingers crossed. 57 for the low here.
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83 here. Under double digits difference today.
