The model spread only 3-4 days away from possible effects is pretty substantial. One large difference is that the Icon and EC both allow the vort to sit idle for a day to the south of the area while it rains itself out....CMC charges ahead and pushes the high out of the way.
Well, the GFS folded to the EC for this weekend....no rain for the LSV. But the EC folded to the CMC and now takes the SLP up into the Piedmont/Apps region though not nearly as wet as the CMC for thr weekend. The CMC is a flooder.
EC continues to look like the Government QPF map from earlier but much less in the way of total qpf..hangs one piece of energy off the Florida coast longer than the other globals. That scenario lessens the effects in Happy Valley as shown. Basically dry without the vort crashing into the MA. In winter this run would have been a crushing blow to storm hounds. The MJS morning predict special.
This is a good warm up for winter in watching the different interactions and predicts between the globals. The displacement of the blocking high on the CMC makes for very a large variance on ground truth vs. the GFS. I have heard people comparing this to a Nor' Easter but the OP globals (CMC GFS) continue the trend toward allowing the SLP to find a weakness and get into or near the Apps.
GFS was not much different from the Icon in driving the low into the SE and then heading North. Slower advance north vs. 6Z which would be good for early PSU parking activities but not good for the game itself. CMC takes the onus off the coast and tracks up through SC and the Apps.
This was in reference to total mows. Some of us have a running mower count here for fun.....I have only mowed 12 times all year so far mostly due to long stretches of no mowing due to the drought. I think the Trainer may be in the 30's.
Your grass keeps growing through October or do you just mean leaves? My grass will probably grow a bit over the next 2 weeks which may lead to a mow but so far it has rarely grown much in Oct. Guess the first frost will play a part in all of that.