Bubbler86

CMC did drop the boundary back to well south of us...for now. GFS has 3 winter storms on its run, like Blizz mentioned the Euro and the CMC have the one 9 days out as well. Low of 27 here but up to 34 now.

That is why some enjoy the model disco, watching the magic at work.

In my opinion, at most only 10-15 percent of our total posts are OT so one should not worry about that unless the forum Presidents come in with an edict. I agree with you that the sense of not knowing has to be tough on anyone involved in this situation (weather and otherwise) and to top it off, at least specific to people working in Met, they have to deal with a largely ignorant general public who mocks them with jokes about having jobs in which they can excel while being wrong so often. I would equate public weather forecasting with people who work in IT support in having to deal with disgruntlement when things are not working, then little in the way of acknowledgement any other time. I truly hope things settle down in the near term as it relates to Federal employees.

18Z GFS still trying the over the top system it has been advertising for days now. Would not be overly cold but something to keep an eye on

That is a debated topic but I would opine that as long as the majority of the guidance is not showing the SER taking over the eastern US, it should not be a conclusion that it will happen. The GEFS really showed the ridge pushing heights up over much of the East US but the AI's and EPS have not yet. Gem (and GEPS) was obviously hyper ridge.

AI's not see the SER being the dominant feature as of yet. 6Z GFS AI has light snow on Feb 6th. This does not appear to be far off form the 12Z Euro AI.

Up to 48 here.

That would make the bulbs come up. EC has a similar but MUCH less drastic depiction of the SER and a cutting washing AN temps over us. GFS has highs in the 30's. LOL. This is the same day the Euro AI had a big snow storm.

Yea, I have learned that if I delve too much into details it is a bit of waste but just glad some progs are showing a juiced up Southern Stream so we have a shot if the cold can time well.

GFS still going gang busters with trackable events...even if all fail

No worries having as many threads as needed, I am just not going to change because other people cannot get along. When paweather said "Why" this AM I thought he was saying he had not read the news (regardless of what side one is on). I should have just kept my mouth shut. LOL

I will not be participating in a banter thread. No offense to you ITT. This board is dead most of the year and we self regulate and only banter during slow times. There is already a banter thread for people to talk politics. So if I banter and someone does not want to read it, block me. I will try to not banter though to make it a fix that way. Easy/Peasy.

Man, paweather. Lots going on right now.

Rumor has it that the Euro AI looks so good for snow the first week of Feb, people are dropping their phones in excitement.

We certainly need the rain but it is a shame Friday is probably going to ruin this being the second driest ever at MDT. We may not even be top 20 by the time Friday is over.

Someone over in your area may push 3-4" tomorrow. Hard to tell where.

Peters Orchards over here in Bubbler Territory may see some!

Most guidance has them petering out in the Northern and Western LSV but you know how it is. With the temps as is, there is not going to be a lot of accums down here. AOO "could" get slammed tomorrow. They may get a WAA.

Heggy has a barometer made of empty Jägermeister bottles.

31 and about 50% pack coverage left. Will pretty much be gone today. Snow squall day upcoming tomorrow.

Not extreme but about as a cold of a start to Feb one could hope for. Just a model prog though.

Will put this in the "I will believe it when I see it" category. Ground Hog Hammer down.