Bubbler86

If it were not for the wind., it was a shorts day.

All things considered, I am really happy with modeling and what people who follow teleconnections (I like to stay more in MR and SR) are saying for the next 2-4 weeks. Happy being stated from someone who wants more winter weather. Those progs that showed several days in a row of 60's and 70's have been pushed aside for now. Some op progs still show some outputs of 50's or 60's in between cold spells but the second half of Feb currently looks like this to most people skilled in LR forecasting. Sucks for energy bills but good for discussion and tracking. I still think Feb has a better chance to be BN vs AN. This map below is record setting cold for mid Feb.

Plus with the current interest rates. I would rather pay cash and live in downtown McSherrystown vs pay interest. Real Estate has to cool down at some point. I saw the development you spoke of. Utilities sticking up on empty lots, etc. Think I saw a house or two built or being built. I got lost today trying to avoid the traffic. Saw an entrance for the Vulcan quarry and thought I was on the other side...did not realize there is more than one entrance.

One interesting thing I noted was that rumor has it the female pilot was managing the flight but the back and forth with the ATC was a male pilot. I have not heard yet that they have released the internal convos on the copter. Watching the hi-res view of the copter ramming the plane is truly like a theatrical movie thing. Sad.

My wife wanted to stop at that fancy pants crochet/knitting shop in town...I like McSherrystown. Good old fashioned bones. I am sure there are a ton of new houses outside the main street stuff. I am perfectly fine overlooking the large Ringgold Valley below me where I currently sit. LOL. I like the conveniences of Hanover but not the hustle and bustle. I went home via 30 and noted New Oxford still had some Christmas Decorations up. Maybe the maintenance team is afraid to navigate the traffic circle.

I thought my NWS zone said falling to near 31 today but stayed in the 40's and upper 30's all day in Hanover and McSherrystown. Wind was pretty brutal though.

In what stands as a solid sign summer is still far off, we got clipped by a small 10 min torrential downpour yesterday to give us .65 for the day. During summer that would be a miss.

I did not go there because of the "mantra", true or not, about only going 5-6 days. If there was nothing else I may have gone there but the 5th was there.

A good bit, if not all, of the qpf on the Euro AI is frozen for the 5th. 8th/9th not as nice.

I sometimes think the "handlers" like to purposely pick whatever the opposite of the weather is...cloudy and he/she sees their shadow, sunny and they don't. The Pennsylvania Polka is a catchy tune to listen to while it is happening.

Will be very interesting to hear the convo inside the copter. It feels like a Hanover day. Haha, actually the planned day to stop at my clients there.

Watching the most clear of images I have seen so far, at this link, just makes it hard to understand how the copter did not know. Understanding the plane is above it and descending as they get closer, the lights on the plane are super bright and one would think even night vision would have caught something in their angle of vision at least in the last 10-15 seconds. If they can't see that plane in that position, visual separation should never be an allowed tactic. https://www.yahoo.com/news/dca-surveillance-cameras-catch-clearest-171807768.html

Temp stays at or below freezing at MDT Feb 8th-14 on the 6Z GFS.

Quite the turn around in the last 18 hours. It looked like the Team SER was about the take control and now the GFS is running 2/5 under us. Some big changes. Were it not for a lack of cold air, the 6Z GFS would be a train of snow storms vs. the ice to rain scenarios they show right now for the 5th and 9th (not much rain on the 9th.) 3 winter storms on the 6Z GFS between now and Valentines day.

The video I saw of the atc controllers showed the screen graphic of the two entities going straight for each other and I heard some "light" doubt in the atc's voice when he asked the copter if they had visual and were going around behind. I am surprised there was not more angst seeing them going at each other even if he thought the copter was 1 to 2 hundred feet lower. I was not sure what the plane could see since I thought it was nose up in final landing position. I guess we will know if they can dry out the box and get the internal convo. The lack of worry from the atc made me think this was normal faire for a copter to be that close.

The height of the helicopter is my big wonderment right now. I also realise that it is night and and harder to see but the video I saw this evening showed absolutely no deviation by the copter when it hit the plane. The plane was gliding and losing elevation slowly at that point so really hard for me to understand how they did not see it even if in the last 30 seconds and we would have seen the copter try to adjust...the video shows a straight ramming. You mentioned she a few times, is that in reference to the pilot whose name has not been released? I understand she was a co-pilot so at least one other person should have been at least partially connected to the situation and neither saw this plane, even the last moments? Thanks for your input though, my comments are wonderment not suggesting I know any more.

Being off course and more than 100 feet above where they though they were, that is a big snafu.

May be coincidence, who knows. The copter crash is still a worry about how and why. All of this puts weather into it's proper position of less importance but we just picked up close to a half inch of rain in 30 min here.

That part of NE Philly is going to be full of people where it went down. May be worst week of aviation history in our country's history.

The ring camera view of tonights plane looks like it was going almost straight down. Crazy. People questioning if the copter hit the AA plane on purpose (previous crash) and now this.

The 18Z GFS in a gif

The happiest happy hour on a long time. Coldinista's strike back after 12Z

18Z GFS with some surprisingly good news shorter term.

47 MPH wind gust in the dry slot.