Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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A bit too much of a cold thing for next Tue on the CMC. No real mechanism to draw the snow up our way and boundary is down in Central and Southern VA vs. N VA like the GFS (which does show snow and ice via two pieces of energy.)
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Someone commented this AM that this frz maps are often over done or only apply to trees which I think is true...but still posting the data. This would require a WSW. Not as impressed with the GFS which ends in warmer temps limiting the potential power line issues.
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Tad north of me. Close but probably no snow for me in that map...or somewhere between.1 and .4.
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Just for fun
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GFS loading up again for the 15th or 16th.
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Valentines Day smack down. (PBP not a forecast)
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Incoming
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18Z GFS sends first stage of Wed ice storm mostly south of us. Some light frozen new M/D line. But kicks in Thur with freezing rain.
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Like modeled and forecasted. LOL.
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For once models are targeting the LSV with the starting WAA of a storm coming our way...here are the Nam totals for snow before Ice kicks in Wed
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So far the high here today has been 25. Impressive. Looks like snow though I know I am a bit too far south for the party tonight. MDT has a shot to stay below freezing today as well.
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I know there is disdain for off topic here but I am dealing with the worst trade in NBA history (as of now) so hard to be happy posting. But really did not mean to offend, I was sort of defending MU and saying he is probably not happy.
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I am sorry, was not trying to offend. I remembered the wall-to-wall term. At that time, and even as soon as two days ago, Feb looked middling at best but as of this moment it looks very cold. Whether it snows or not is always up for interpretation but someone quoted that MU was unhappy (joking I assume) about the Hog and I figured he was probably unhappy because he loves warm and warm Feb looks a lot less likely now than it did a few days ago,
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I went back and looked and it was actually not him, it was this post and interpretation so sorry if I suggested it was him. I actually did not read what he said at that point in Jan to suggest your take on but my thought is right now it appears to be that Feb has a very good chance of being BN so I figured he was not happy with the turn of events. It is just a model run but if the GFS were right we would be a good 3-5 degrees BN when hitting the last third of Feb. Only one high out of the 15 panels is AN.
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He said something about wall to wall warmer/not cold for Feb, just going from other posts, so he is not going to like how that has changed. March is too far out to be guesstimating IMO.
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Gross.
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No way Ruin said the word "nice" unless it was in a sentence such as "The NWS said I would get to 24 last night and I got to 16. Nice job guys"
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Not much jibber jabber about the snow tonight? Could see a decent amount North of the lower part of the LSV. 1-2" @pawatch
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Definitely a major positive. Just remember a year or two where constant means were being posted in the MA thread, some very high, and we hardly had any snow. But as of NOW the idea of an early spring is out the door. Too much evidence to the contrary.
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You did not ask me but I remember some means that were very high within the last 5 years (and not sure which model) as these maps are some of the reason people get down on LR forecasting. I remember seeing 6-8" means south of us. Not bad news though!
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Yea, a surprisingly cold morning. Most of the lakes and ponds are still frozen here as well. Not cold enough for walking but still covered.
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The "weather" in Dallas is very Blue right now. People don't even feel Luka warm about it.
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He/She is staring the obvious in the face with the LR upper level maps. Talking about winter, 11 degrees this Am as well. Finally beat MDT which got down to a mean average temp dropping 16.
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Yea it is like a dance to see if we can show well enough for snow but not showboat where the girl walks away. Either way cold and dry or cold or cool and snow/ice is better than 70's in Feb IMO. Apologies to Voyager.
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