Bubbler86
-
Posts
29,675 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Bubbler86
-
The threats are changing seemingly each run right now so hard to discuss too many specifics outside the next 5 days unless one wants to simply break down model reasons for outcomes.
-
48 hour snow on 18Z GFS
-
Sat evening as of now but too far out to be sure on that. Snow/mix ending as rain with the usual Cad caveats.
-
To me the Jackpot is the areas where the highest snows happen. I usually do not count the mountains.
-
Well MDT is 6-10" lower than the MA which is what I meant by Jackpot.
-
A lot meant 5-6 so maybe an exaggeration but it was indeed low key for such a snow. Of course MA was jackpotted not LSV
-
It was posted a lot. LOL
-
There was a VERY significant one in the mid 80's. I was over in Carlisle and route 81 was closed because cars could not move.
-
You got that one right.
-
Looks a little more Grimey in Philly all of sudden.
-
This should result in another chance whether the Euro sees it that way or not
-
A Chattanooga Choo Choo with sweet temps.
-
-
Euro is mostly freezing rain with some plain rain... with temps too high to be a major event for the LSV in my opinion. Just a prog, not a forecast and I am sure someone has Cad knowledge on how well the Euro does. A good bit of the qpf is during daytime as nothing is close to falling at 6Z.
-
UK for the weekend is mostly a snow to rain situation. Not a lot of ice.
-
UK is a sleet bomb as well...little to no FRZ unless pivotal output of the UK is different than their outer suites.
-
CTP's page does not seem to list the sleet requirements for a WSW but some other places use 1/2". Snow is 5" in the LSV and SE, 6" rest of the state....and 1/4" for ice except for 9 NE most counties which are 1/2" of ice.
-
As other have said, that sleet bomb is the key. An Icon like situation of only FRZ is not going to be that terrible once the sun comes up. I doubt I have much in the way over here as to FRZ.
-
A big one as is but could have been more with that 500 Look. We could have been pulling the word tuck out. Of course the phase would have risked it pulling too far in.
-
Northern Stream vort/trough looking for lasting and explosive relationship with Southern Stream Energy. Serious inquires only.
-
Rgem too.
-
Nam starting to backtrack on super streak a b it but still fairly potent. Rgem and Icon have it as well though farther south.
-
46 here this AM. Never made it past 40 last night and actually rose to 61 at one point. So we already have a double digit An deviation today.
-
Plows down for you.
-
I think a sleet bomb is the best chance for this to be an event the causes disruption. I am hearing and reading the cad will win posts but it is not that cold going into the event. If we agree that 30 is a bit warm for frz during the day, there is little room.
