I think much of that is also reliant upon what the forming Tue night low does. The GFS wind maps showed much of the more active area in front of the low veering to the east of some of the LSV. Also, maybe that MDT in Ohio can more consistently reflect our areas temps?
The funny part is it is not entirely impossible for someone to see 1-2" of snow this week (especially father north) so I thought you just hit ' instead of ".
I think Wed is the make or break as to if this week is excessive. If that low forms a bit farther East, it may just be crappy here with less rain than would happen if the shield extends back over us.
After several/4-5 freeze chances late week (especially the normally colder areas), we are left with this for Monday. Not ideal for viewing the 90-95% eclipse.
.38 with what looks like the last line, until tomorrow night, coming through right now. Best lightning show since last summer. Top gust during the storms was 42. Hope we get some sun tomorrow.