Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Might not even need a broom for that depiction here. Ha.
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Radar presentation gives the appearance of a CCB and really emphasizes the coastal for those North/East of us.
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Seems decent. Like you said, it may not impact roads much if it comes down lightly all day.
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Sure, I was refencing the AN/BN totals at MDT for January. The +5 right now is very high for this far into a month. It is going to be knocked down some over the next 3-5 days but if we have a warm last week, the final numbers will be toasty.
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Just look at MDT's numbers for the month and they are STILL 5 AN...crazy. With the warm spell progged next week, the final numbers are going to be pretty ugly.
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Looks like EC is 1-3" for most of Eastern PA.
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We are agreed, maybe I did not state it right.
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Some models have actually started Friday off as a bit of rain before the column cools.
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And predicting the results of the weather is what most of the science of met is all about IMHO.
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RGEM and Nam
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Some decent rates mid-day Friday.
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Nam 12 at 48. Not a ton of precip as shown. Not to the point of a full coastal influence yet so more to come. Fills in better at 51. Dry slot stays to our south.
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I definitely would ala the 6Z Nam 3K. I dry slot with that look. But trying not to do IMBY talk too much.
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LR HRRR with a nice view of the initial energy scooting right under PA.
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SE LSV and NE MA may benefit from that the most...if it comes to fruition. That is what the GFS keeps trying to sell. Highs near freezing on Friday (southern locales) would limit the ratios a bit.
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I think 1-3 is the best forecast right now but cannot quibble with 2-4.
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And it is a WB map to boot!
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TT uses True SLR for the Icon which I read was an alternate to Kuch. It is not necessarily 10-1 and, in this case, does not match up with the qpf map if it were 10-1. Here is the Icon 10-1 on Pivotal. Much higher than TT with the point being gross differences between model sites snow maps is always a cause for confusion. WB is almost always higher than the rest for true snow situations.
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Don't look at TT then. It has you getting 1"-2" on the Icon and 2" on the Nam 12. Not advocating TT's maps but not every map on every site. 1-3 or 2-4 seems prudent.
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Here is the GFS on pivotal. Hard to keep track of what is what with the model sites being off by 25% or more from other sites.
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Not impressed with the 6Z runs (cannot see the Euro) for Friday. A Canderson broom off outside the Canadian and Icon.
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Low of 6....up to 8 now though.
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I am guessing the snow cover is taking 3-4 degrees off where we would other be at right now.
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We have dropped to 12. 4 degrees in 40 min.
