Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Model PBP. Not going to punt to Late Feb.
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I think there are 2 camps (at least.). Getting snow seems like a real good bet but if we only get 6-10" total snow, there are going to be some going on the war path.
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The snow you showed is a cutter that transfers beneath us just in time for some....complicated. The far SE LSV loses out. Here is the progression. But it is a 300 hr plus storm. It will change. It was a bowling ball yesterday.
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That is a worrisome as depicted. Cutter Miller B. Only show on the docket though unless Feb 5th slings back west in to us. GFS has it making it to New England.
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How many of the 12Z Ensemble products had a better pattern at 384?
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That is their other motto when at the bar after work.
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That is the motto for the people that manage the Navy NoGaps/Navgem.
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At least one GFS per week tries to please!
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It would be a very wet snow as depicted. Paste bomb! Temps are 33-37.
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Looks like it just missed a phase and escapes a bit too soon for PA.
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LR 12Z GFS also looking interesting as we head toward V-Day. Trough coming out of Voyager land and headed toward the southeast. An eventual Gorilla in the Gulf forms.
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12Z GFS has another bowling ball rainstorm turned snowstorm, like it did yesterday...different time frame though. Some very large-scale synoptic changes on each run right now so just for entertainment.
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Had some flurries here but sky is clearing now. 36.
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31 this AM breaking the no below freezing streak of a week or so.
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I share my worry about the ob we are speaking to here. I have been in the 90's dozens of times over the last few years.
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The GEPS has 25% of its members getting accum snow to at least parts of the LSV for 2/5. Unlikely still but blinds remain open.
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The first accum snow of the pattern change can get a map or two!
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Tim, to clarify. The poster who earlier today was worried about weather on the 7th planet from the sun, pushes back on East Nantmeal all the time.
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Welcome if you can answer one question right....How much for Dubois?
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Hopefully Blizz gets off work in time to post that 12Z GFS Snow map...before the 18Z comes out.
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GFS 300 is interesting for a potential bowling ball, but it is the GFS 300.
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Congrats Waynesboro....VA. And the Atlantic Ocean.
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Using the forum to act out.
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6Z GFS PBP of Feb 5th (non for here) event. Depicts the convoluted nature of what is going on there. Low positions are center of lowest pressure. Hour 144 NW Miss and East of Jax Hour 150 NE of Miami Hour 156-174 off SE SC Coast Hour 180 CUBA...El Presidente.
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Ditto. Has not been below freezing here in quite some time.
