Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Phase...really lack of.... ends up being just a little late for PD to really be a KU level storm but the orientation of the trough (not even really a trough as much as the SS flow) is better than 6Z so Southern PA gets more snow. The whole scene has fireworks written all over it though.
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Huge potential here:
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PD taking shape and the NS and SS vorts are better aligned at 12Z.
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Yea, we would need that transfer to start a panel or two earlier and the primary to not get near Dubois. In my opinion the only way the 6Z worked was the low strengthening much sooner to our south which pulled in colder air as the air we have going in is not good enough.
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Dual Low in PA and VA at 141. Not going to work out this time. The low is a good 20mb higher in pressure and will just not be pulling down reinforcing cold for most of PA in this depiction. Going to need Blizz to fix this at HH.
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Much weaker/less phased low in Ohio at 135. Probably going to lessen the chances of cold air being pulled down.
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13th low is slightly west and a tad farther north vs. 6Z at 126.
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Sunday's Max Min low of 40 also in place on the GFS.
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KTCC? Shorts weekend either way.
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GFS has highs 55-60 for Friday for those following a record opportunity. The record high for Friday is 61 set waaaayyy back in 2023 and 62 for Sat set in 1960 with GFS getting very near this figure for Sat as well. The record max low for Sat is 45 which may also be in play as could Friday's 39 with MDT's penchant to be high.
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12Z Icon seems a shade north at this point...the end result is not going to be great for PA even with a transfer at that point.
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It has teens for tomorrow Am as well (colder locations). I bet it is too low again but the suites staying above freezing are probably too high.
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With MDT getting below freezing this AM that makes 5 straight sub-freezing lows putting it in a tie for the second longest streak of sub-freezing lows in the last year/since February 2023 (if I saw the records correctly.)
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Rgem was way too cold for this AM.
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If it played out like that, this would be one where we would have to do model PBP's even at night. Miller A with cold air in place is nice.
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19 this AM.
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Buckle up is Ralph's call :-)
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Wiggum of 93!
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Look at the Nam trying to be contrary.
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Going to need something better than Phoenix Spilt. That sounds like a Class A Baseball team.
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Chris Elliott, is that you?
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If we had a good end to Feb with over 15", I think some would take it!
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I saw another met or two say winter is done by March 7th. Glad it is not my call to make.
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Quick hitter wet snow on the GFS for the 12/13th as a coastal strengthens and draws in slightly colder air on its way out. 1-3" of slop for middle and lower LSV but an improvement. The track is great though a bit suppressed for PA....the temps are not. Temps are so questionable that there is rain north of the LSV snow due to lower intensity.
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We are talking about two totally different things. No issues. I am pointing out the discrepancy of the mean low location and the snow depth means. Snow depth increases over the LSV after 7AM Tue.
