Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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67 this AM.
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The HRRR disinegrates most of the rain. :-( If it is right, back to the drawing board looking for qpf.
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87,88,87,87,92,96,90. Final run down from the "Great Heat Wave of 2024" around these parts. Might be out of order as going from memory but last 3 are in order. 5 of the 7 mornings featured lows in the 60's. During the Great Heat Wave of 2020 I outdistanced MDT almost every day featuring an apex of 102. If it has been 1 less degree here today the whole Heat Wave would have been tossed with no 3 day stretch of 90's. Using HGR and MDT norms, I was only in Double digit departure territory one day. The first 4 days were within a degree or two of normal.
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That is over 2 weeks away so like the 60's for highs a day or so ago, I suspect that modifies. 105 at 2PM would set all times records through most of the state sans a cooling shower coming.
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Not nice. For entertainment only. That is mid 100's at 2PM!
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Air is juicy here. Sun broke through and it is now 90 giving Rou its first Heat Wave of the season with 90+ for the last 3 days.
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84 and cloudy at noon.
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Very cloudy over this way. Holding at 83.
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You have a good shot of not breaking 80 tomorrow.
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It is more than hit or miss. On this terrain map, note the area where there is no secondary mountain range coming off the true central PA ranges. Quite often cells form out of seemingly nowhere and move in a generally direction through the gap. This is really just convection situations that I have seen it but it happens a lot every summer. When the cells get to the river, they will often pivot a bit and run down the river in a more SE direction instead of due East.
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I seem to be at a loss for this each summer. My only advice is to say you will not see rain for weeks as that seems to draw in the qpf to you.
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The Heat Wave is over for a good chunk of the state. Shooting for 3 days that it does not break 80 in my area (next week.)
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Bears. The huge difference in goaltenders is the difference right now. Chris Driedger is weak sauce.
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Some of the same areas with nearly 3" this week are tacking on right now. Almost 11PM and still 86.
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There is a weak wave moving south of the state line and it is setting off some cells.
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Whole mess of rain in N WV right now. Not sure it survives but seems angled toward York Co.
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Yep, that is the issue with the model qpf's. More about areas that might get lucky vs. An area wide rain.
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Hgr has .49. But as we have talked about .5 per week is world's better than 10" then nothing for 3 weeks.
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The Capitol beltway gets 5-10 of these per summer That is how you end up with 10 more inches of precip than areas down here. Some areas near the Cumberland/Franklin line have almost 3" in the last 5 days.
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You spanked all the government and model Qpf maps.
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Tenp in Satan's hole was 113 today.
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But no 100 means fail. Dubois records > MDT.
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An area 15 miles to the north of me has had 2" of rain in the last 5-6 days which was what I was referring to. They cannot predict stuff like that.
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Their issue is that during the summer they will be wrong, for the NE, almost every time because they smooth out their maps. Convection is not smooth. Some areas of the LSV have over 2" on the last 5-6 days now.
