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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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AFD maxes out at 100. Not much model support for it though. Some but more for 95-97ish. It is possible tomorrow is the hottest of the days considering higher potential for clouds and convection Mon/Tue. Heat pattern ramps up and peaks early next week as a large Bermuda high pumps increasingly hot and very humid air into CPA. 850mb temps rising to around 22C supports highs peaking between 90-100F
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One or two mid 90's there but a lot more upper 80's vs. mid 90's.
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If you get a D1 designation the farmers can apply for aid. My neighbor has done it every year I have been here (since 2018.). It is almost like he has the farm just to get Obama bucks.
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88 at 3:30. Nice rise from 79 before. Heat has some push to it. Just looked at 12Z. Euro only has one day above 90 at 18Z for MDT next week (though it is upper 90's.) GFS is still really the torch bearer for extreme heat spanning several days.
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If your next play is Zeke up the middle it will 3rd and 3 next.
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Holy....just looked at my home therm. 79 in Rou. I am punting 90 in Rou with prejudice.
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Yea, huge rug pull. Very reminiscent of a winter fail.
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Nooners in Frederick 85 and sunny.
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6 weeks give or take. Summer half over in a few days.
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Nice score. A few days ago Lanco was dry according to most.
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Also @Jns2183 there has been an MCS Monday night on models for a couple days now.
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No, just the focus. There cells all over the LSV both days on the mesos's just more to the west today and more to the east tomorrow. Central, like all of us, are in the game pretty much every day for the foreseeable future. Here is the RGEM as an example:
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Low of 65 here but quite humid out. Focus on scattered cells is West of LSV today, Eastern LSV tomorrow but anyone could get a surprise either day.
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Dehydration.
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I would take a bet on it not being dry but not saying it is drought buster. If the GFS does pull the coup and it gets into the 100's next week, you will have to stop dishing out drinks as that will hurt people already suffering.
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Yep, frontal passage. A stronger one. Heat gone for a few days after the pass. These temps are more clouds and drizzle as the heavier rain is the night before. Next potential 90's day not until the following Mon (GFS and CMC). If the front speeds up anymore, Wed is not going to be a 90's day. As of now Wed is still hot though. Right now, I do not see much support for triple digits next week (models). We are at the top of a weak ridge and going to have clouds and occasional convection. The Hot EC has MDT in the 80's at 18Z both Mon and Tue. If the clouds do not happen, then maybe. The GFS is really the only thing that is extra hot and that is indeed due to differences at 500H.
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After 12 days, MDT stands 3.1 above normal though day to day the split is close to even, just a few high values AN days. Out of 12 days there have been 7 AN and 5 BN so one away from an even split.
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Dune-Strawberry Square Edition.
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Offering a snow plowing service in the LSV is along the lines of opening a Blockbuster store or listing Red Box Technician on your resume. For @Blizzard of 93 before he heads out for his 6 different softball tournaments today
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I watered the entire yard yesterday while it was cloudy. Took 3-4 hours but got .2" down on everything. Rain is better though as it contains Nitrogen that Ninja watering does not provide.
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Was this from the $5 service or the $20 service?
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78 for Thursday
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What a failure by models vs. 24-48 hours ago. I say this after many mets dropped the ball leading in to this...models had the win but this failure is so bad....I say no one wins. Mets used bias to make their bad forecasts and models went too far in trends the last 2 days. Flood watch for east nantmeal is now a shower watch.
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Mean, schmean. .25 every 3 days and no ninja watering needed.
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A quarter inch every 3 days would be fine.
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