Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Free egg salad for all comers.
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He has you in the hammer zone.
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Let's hope not
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MDT has their 90. Canderson beats the models that were calling for an earlier start to festivities. 82 in Rou as the latest heat wave goes off into the sunset.
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MDT's current low of 77 would tie a record for the day but a chance they are lower by midnight. Only the HRRR suggests they are still in the mid 70's when 11:59PM rolls around...all other mesos's near 70. In winter the midnight high is always an issue...midnight lows in summer. The Fv3 is serving up a nice cup of 40's for NW PA Friday AM.
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Yep. I suspect dry ground, lack of clouds and a lower Dp led to some of the higher temps here. Nighttime lows were still in the 60's/near 70 with no HIA for many of those locations so 35-40 diurnal range.
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Some CWOPS in Franklin County have bypassed 100 for 3 days in a row.
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Yea, YTD always hides the summer droughts we have faced for years now. Good for ground water though. Ground water and the like is why Canderson is not D1 as of this Am.
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By then the yards and vegetation (farms) are done if drought is evident.
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Droughty 4 out of the last 5 on your graphic.
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The Western and Central LSV drought and tumbleweed areas took a hit yesterday. For Franklin County, this is the 3rd or 4th year out of the last 5 with a D2 designation as the half decade or more summer drought continues. Made it to 99 here.
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68 for the low, 72 right now. Have not had a low in the 70's in quite some time. I sure I hope I get some rain today. Upper 70's just after lunch on most models (here.) GFS sticking with a wet and generally BN highs next week.
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Some over 1" totals.
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Yea, your taxes LOL. We have been paying for my neighbor farmer every year since I have been here in 2018. Once D1 hits they get government relief. More for D2. Farmers are uber protected by the government. Without farmers, we are done as a country. The one year we had 1" total over the entire summer (June-Aug), the government paid him 2-4 Mill to destroy his crop as it could not have been harvested. I think he does have to pay some kind of fee to qualify...for people who do not buy insurance.
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HGR is 3" behind just for June and 1/2 of July. They have had about 1.6 or 1.7" during that time but that is not nearly enough over 6-7 weeks to combat this sun and heat. I heard an expansion of D2 is coming and maybe some D3 to our near south. Not one farmer I know here has irrigation.
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Yep. The convection lottery.
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You mean with bubbler?
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You have been ground zero this year.
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A little late for the colors coming out Thur.
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18Z GFS is back to a good ridge position and a wet/less hot pattern next week. Not comfortable per se just not well AN.
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Yep, even down to trend change for a bit from the late 70's to the early 90's. The high point trend confirms the overall trend.
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We could throw several graphs out, I picked the previous one because of my original comment about 74 in July. Here is the Mean. The high points (blue dots) since 1990'ish really drive this one home. Unprecedented except your favorite year in the 60's.
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Here is a graph of MDT summer days that stayed 74 or below for Max daily temps. Some ups and downs but the trend line is down. This was created using 10 year moving averages to make the line easier to read and see trends vs bumps. There was a resurgence of sort from the 70's-90's before it started dropping to its current historical all-time low. The 10 year moving average is down to 4 now whereas it never got below 7 before 2014.
