Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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64 for the low... up to 66 with a refreshing 59 for a DP. Models this Am look like a good old East Coast Smasher with Susky and Southeast getting most of the goods the next 3 days. From AFD: Latest ensemble plumes indicate 0.5 to 1 inch of much needed rain is likely over parts of Lancaster County by early Saturday, with markedly less rain potential to the northwest.
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Mdt bagged a Trace....enhancing it's chance to hold on to it's max min record for the day. Down to 71 here. Would not be surprised to see some 50's tomorrow am (on wunderground) in colder areas.
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We have talked about this before. I cannot quantify anything to an exact science but to me and thinking about vegetation and grass, over a 12 week period, .5" per week is far superior to no rain for 11 weeks and ANY amount for the one week. My thought is not limited to equal amounts. The 6' over 12 weeks is better than 20" in one week...better than 30' for the week, etc. Even .3" per week all summer is better than 20 in one week. Now when talking about ground water, it is not as clear.
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That was the event I was referring to as I remember you talking about it.
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Re: do not eat dinner out during a monsoon!
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Hrrr is not too far from MU. Your nws zone waffles and says "near 90" which is 87 -93. The models that rain on you sat are also below 90 that day. One was in the 60's at 18z as unlikely as that sounds.
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Haha, no bets. But not one meso I saw gets you up to 90 so a fair call to say you stay in the 80's even if it is wrong. On the biggies the 3K and Rgem are 83, the HRRR just went up a few degrees and is upper 80's, Fv3 is 82. With all this said, my reply was to Altoona as well! LOL
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I think some models have you topping near 82-83. I doubt I break 80 here with lows 60-65 tonight (here)
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Goodbye 90's for 2-4 days.
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The not hot part is moving north fast. But got what I needed here....a grass watering as good as I could do by hand. Only about .15" though. No storm what-so-ever.
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Yea, nothing guaranteed. We are getting some rain but the sun is back out already. Down to my low for the day at 74.
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The Great Valley is taking a large bite out of the far south side of the line.
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Had a wind gust of 46 a short while ago.
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I did not see a lot of cancelling vs. radar negative comments which were spot on. Most comments said that it did not look good now, let's hope it does well later to include MJS pointing out the lateness on some of the later models runs as to the line.
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Skinny but all rain welcome.
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MU (the person) would not be happy.
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The last-ditch effort is trying to form just west of the LSV right now.
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The HRDPS. Nice model, not,
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You guys are still prime for relief Fri and Sat IMO.
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If this keeps up, house sales in the LSV will start needing drought and heat disclosures added to let people know this is no longer a place to grow stuff in the summer,
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If you need to do any Ninja watering, I can pass on some tips.
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LSV and Upper MA split right now.
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If this does not change fast in the next hour or two, ITT is going to be even more emboldened to mock models though again it was never a soaker today down here.
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This was always quetionable today and in some cases the hype makes it hurt more though it is not over you for easters yet. Plus several progs shown a steady rain Fri/Sat...not out here but your area and east.
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It is not good at all.
