Bubbler86
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Everything posted by Bubbler86
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Not sure. A bit of a wetter long on MR and LR. D3 down in NC and SC right now.
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Yep, have to do something to create excitement. Only 69 here. Ehh, corrected to 70. It just went up a tad.
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Northeast Drought Summary Temperatures were warmer than normal over the region during the current period with departures from 4-6 degrees above normal in New England to 2-4 degrees above normal in the southern portions of the region. Precipitation was spotty with the greatest amounts recorded over Maine, southern New York, northern New Jersey and western Connecticut. Areas of the Mid-Atlantic were the driest, especially southern Pennsylvania, Delaware, southern New Jersey, eastern Maryland and northern Virginia. With the dryness, abnormally dry conditions spread over southern Maine into southern New Hampshire, central Pennsylvania and parts of New Jersey. Severe drought expanded over northern Virginia and eastern West Virgnia as well as portions of southern Pennsylvania. Full Summary
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Corrected, thanks. Too many things going on at once :-).
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MDT Set 12 Max Min records in 2021 and 11 in 2016 and 1991. So far this year they have 8. Another interesting stat, the last year MDT did not set a Max Min record was 2003. It then goes to 1996 for the next one then 1983 at which point it becomes quite common to find years with no max mins. 1990 and up have taken the majority of the max mins per capita at MDT. Whether due to CC or HIA. A quick parse, did not double check but close, shows that of the 365 days in a year, 168/46% of the Max mins have occurred since 1990. In other words, in only 26% of the record keeping years (34 of the total 136 years), MDT has run up close to 50% of the records.
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They did the previous 2 days but the record of 76 today is safe in that they dropped to 72 or 73 this AM.
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NWS dropped you to 86 today.
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64 for the low... up to 66 with a refreshing 59 for a DP. Models this Am look like a good old East Coast Smasher with Susky and Southeast getting most of the goods the next 3 days. From AFD: Latest ensemble plumes indicate 0.5 to 1 inch of much needed rain is likely over parts of Lancaster County by early Saturday, with markedly less rain potential to the northwest.
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Mdt bagged a Trace....enhancing it's chance to hold on to it's max min record for the day. Down to 71 here. Would not be surprised to see some 50's tomorrow am (on wunderground) in colder areas.
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We have talked about this before. I cannot quantify anything to an exact science but to me and thinking about vegetation and grass, over a 12 week period, .5" per week is far superior to no rain for 11 weeks and ANY amount for the one week. My thought is not limited to equal amounts. The 6' over 12 weeks is better than 20" in one week...better than 30' for the week, etc. Even .3" per week all summer is better than 20 in one week. Now when talking about ground water, it is not as clear.
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That was the event I was referring to as I remember you talking about it.
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Re: do not eat dinner out during a monsoon!
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Hrrr is not too far from MU. Your nws zone waffles and says "near 90" which is 87 -93. The models that rain on you sat are also below 90 that day. One was in the 60's at 18z as unlikely as that sounds.
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Haha, no bets. But not one meso I saw gets you up to 90 so a fair call to say you stay in the 80's even if it is wrong. On the biggies the 3K and Rgem are 83, the HRRR just went up a few degrees and is upper 80's, Fv3 is 82. With all this said, my reply was to Altoona as well! LOL
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I think some models have you topping near 82-83. I doubt I break 80 here with lows 60-65 tonight (here)
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Goodbye 90's for 2-4 days.
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The not hot part is moving north fast. But got what I needed here....a grass watering as good as I could do by hand. Only about .15" though. No storm what-so-ever.
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Yea, nothing guaranteed. We are getting some rain but the sun is back out already. Down to my low for the day at 74.
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The Great Valley is taking a large bite out of the far south side of the line.
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Had a wind gust of 46 a short while ago.
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I did not see a lot of cancelling vs. radar negative comments which were spot on. Most comments said that it did not look good now, let's hope it does well later to include MJS pointing out the lateness on some of the later models runs as to the line.
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Skinny but all rain welcome.
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MU (the person) would not be happy.
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The last-ditch effort is trying to form just west of the LSV right now.
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The HRDPS. Nice model, not,
