Jump to content

frd

Members
  • Posts

    6,267
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by frd

  1. That would be a bummer. After 95 plus heat will need rain by then.
  2. Target zero today, currently the 4 th thunderstorm of the day is underway. This current storm is the strongest so far, with 30 mph wind gusts and very heavy rains.
  3. Last night was celebrating the surprise thunderstorm forming just to my West. Guess what, same thing, turned more North and missed me. Can't win in the rain department , just like the snow department recently. not sure if the C and D Canal causes a micro climate variable but very, very frustrating.
  4. Not bad, up to the letter D. Not too shabby
  5. WPC still bullish , if anything the coverage looks even larger.
  6. Nice update, and only matter oif time before those SSTs off the DE. and NJ coast really spike upwards. Western Gulf is crazy warm . !
  7. There is activity on the radar in that area. Of course so far it has screwed me. Missing to the North and the South. However more rogue cells developing so maybe there is still a chance. Dewey might get a storm soon as a broken line moves towards the lower DE beaches
  8. Wow ! No escape from the heat.
  9. That set-up with higher heights further North and East looks like last summer's theme, if i remember correctly. May not be super hot, but the night's elevated lows will have it appear more nasty, and soupy.
  10. Drier trends from the WPC in the 6 to 7 day window. Meanwhile expect a continued faster than normal rise in the surf zone temps next week .
  11. @CAPE that is part of the answer. The timing of prunning the old wood is critical. But sunlight and phosphorous also are important. I am dropping some triple phosphate prior to the rains tomorrow around my hydrangeas and crate mrytle around the drip line. Here is another tip using coffee to change colors Coffee grounds turn soil more acidic, helping hydrangea blossoms turn blue rather than the typical pink or white. The acidity of the grounds provides the key element, though aluminum sulfate or eggshells also produce the same effect. . The primary nutrient for bloom production is phosphorous. ... If hydrangeas do not get enough sunlight, they will not produce blooms. The foliage will be healthy and beautiful but the blooms won't appear
  12. Not liking the trends for East of 95 in my region. 7 day precip totals going down. Not surprised after two seperate busts last week, especially Saturday's failure. Atlantic SSTs reinforce the idea of an expansive and growing WAR in time.
  13. That cooler airmass will be after the possible remains of the tropical system. Interesting wording in the long-term AFD this evening regarding the next week's rain potential. May end up being two seperate events versus just one.
  14. Nice summary here from MH AFD : The best chance for severe weather will come this evening into the overnight period, as upstream convection developing in the vicinity of the surface cold front congeals and progresses towards our area. The latest CAMS largely depict one or more linear convective features moving towards the area overnight and this evolution seems reasonable given the strong mid-lvl flow and associated shear (500mb winds, and 0-6km shear will be in the 90-95th percentile for mid June) which should help support convective organization and maintenance. Although we may see a shallow nocturnal surface inversion form, reasonably steep lapse rates above this shallow layer should support wind gusts reaching the surface in any well- organized convection. SPC highlights this potential for damaging winds by placing the majority of our area in a slight risk for severe weather today (mostly for the evening-overnight period). Given the fast propagation of the system, convective mode, and strong flow aloft. damaging winds look to be the primary threat although small hail will also be possible. The tornado threat will be limited by the weak low-lvl wind fields (the wind field is very "mid-lvl heavy" in this event). Heavy rain is certainly a concern with any stronger convection with some signal for 1-2+ inch an hour rates, however suspect that the quick system motion will make the hydro threat secondary to the wind threat. The main forecast uncertainties are both the timing of the latter round of convection, and also its spatial coverage. For example, the latest CAMS have a spread of nearly 4 hours in timing the QLCS passage which is not particularly surprising given that the quick system motion, combined with the potential for convectively-driven propagation effects related to cold pools are a recipe for timing discrepancies. Additionally the timing situation is further complicated by the fact that several CAMS depict separate northern and southern linear segments developing, while other CAMS show only a more consolidated southern segment impacting our area. Generally suspect that the most likely period for a potential QLCS would be 02- 08Z with the best chance of severe winds being roughly TTN southward, however if the northern segment is able to get going the risk could both extend further northward and also begin earlier.
  15. My cucumbers are growing rapidly too. The secret is to control the vine burrowers so that by the time the tomatoes are ripe the cucumbers are still around. Did an above ground garden this year and so far things look good and drainage is much, much better.
  16. .90 here This is a cool tool https://www.iweathernet.com/total-rainfall-map-24-hours-to-72-hours
  17. Excellent news ! And backed up by the 10 day temp anomaly by the Canadian ensemble
  18. Best rain here in over a week. Will not last long, but a cluster of heavier showers moving NE from Warwick and Galena are hitting the Western egdes of Delaware near me.
  19. Well, in the the FFW yes, but according to the Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0321, the heavirest rains are to my SW and far from the NE extent of the dicussion area. Storms are sinking below Dover currently and into the SE Eastern Shore area, maybe @CAPE neck of the woods. I wish Northern Delaware would share in some of this.
  20. Yeah, big dissapointment here so far for Delaware in my area. Storms missed to the North and to the East. Almost as hard to get some decent rain here as it is to get snow during the winter.
  21. Where is the rain? A bit dissapointing on the rain totals, which here was pathetic.
×
×
  • Create New...