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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. Does it still show S/Ws flying around the base way out in La La Land ? I think once achieved this could be a rather active and cold pattern setting up. May have legs too.
  2. LOL. Second time I believe. Don't tell @CAPE Poor Judah, weather does not exsist in a vacum. THE PV and the HL should become more favorable again with a decent Pac and plenty of threats to track I am very excited myself for the period Feb 10 th to March 10 th.
  3. And around she goes at a higher amplitude. Moving at a decent pace as well.
  4. Great point, I have heard this before. Looking forward to monitoring this during the upcoming work week.
  5. Late month fun. We need a pattern with no path to failure. Maybe this over running pattern might be it.
  6. Wonder if this is the final.outcone. Sure depressing considering some had posted this blend was doing well in forecasting.
  7. Too bad ridge axis is not near Boise. Is GFS hour 384 still showing cross polar flow as psu mentioned a couple days back.?
  8. I hope Feb is going to be epic. We have had a severe - NAO, juiced up STJ, a severe - AO and nothing to show for it except flood issues. One issue after another. Cruel hobby for sure.
  9. As I said before, just because the GFS shows a snowy solution for three days in a row it really means nothing. Euro for the win yet again. Persistence does not mean the GFS is going to be correct. This is not the first time the Euro schooled the GFS, and it will not be the last.
  10. GFS persistence does not equal superiority. We shall see.
  11. You think us in the low lands can still score a significant snowfall or will this be mostly higher terrain event.
  12. Could trend North. What our thoughts on that ? Also connected NAO and WAR gone . Also looks like cross polar flow. Hope not cold and dry. Baroclinic zone might help us possibly. Damn I just want snow.
  13. Appears regardless of meeting the criteria for an official SSWE ( u wind reversal ) just the fact that the PV continues under pressure and will likely remain weak is the main takeaway according to Tomer and Dr Lee.
  14. You think the lowlands have a chance with this one ? Seems we are battling another cutter or suppression. A fine balancing act.
  15. That storm, and the date Jan 17th, fits perfectly with Tomer's - NAO post.
  16. Colder air will move in. As many have stated here, the period of interest is from the 15 th to the 20 th, or possibly to near the 23 rd.
  17. My area is 15 to 30 inches. Hopefully a few moderate events and one MECS gets me to 30 inches. Thanks for the update.
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