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frd

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Everything posted by frd

  1. frd
    Nothing new really, this has been gone over recenlty, that we need to wait for the Greenland block to retrograde and relax. However, worth mentioning the probability is there for a rather significant event in the Mid Atlantic later in Feb.
  2. frd
    The jet is in Mexico. Ugh
  3. frd
  4. frd
    Latest GFS output for hour 384. Keep in mind though the latest GFS was an outlier regarding the events leading up to this split. Regardless, the vortex is taking a beating.
  5. frd
    Just updated
  6. frd
    This was just updated a few minutes ago, and wow ! Deeper, longer, we are setting up for an extended period of winter weather. More consolidation for a -3 SD AO then yesterday. Some member - 6 SD.
  7. frd
    Isn't there some type of formula as to peak negative SOI and it's effect in the East via Pac interaction and moisture delivery ?
  8. frd
    It's good to be rational and objective.
  9. frd
    Wonder why Tomer is not as excited as some? Granted, he seems to say moderate snow events likely in the upcoming pattern after mid month, but he states he does not see a historic snowfall pattern based on the current modeling.
  10. frd
    I was not aware how dramatic the North America snow cover has declined. Pretty remarkable. Interesting post by @bluewave below. < The record low snow cover may be part of the reason the surface temperatures days 11-15 will be significantly warmer than the 850mb temperatures. >
  11. frd
    Impressive for 30 days
  12. frd
    Pattern has legs deep into March
  13. frd
    Continued improvement today with a dropping - AO.
  14. frd
    Good post
  15. frd
    When do you think the - NAO starts to relax, because that will be important as it is related to storm potential during the relaxation period.
  16. frd
    Interesting
  17. frd
    Wonder if we tap into some of this arctic air later in Feb. Brrr.
  18. frd
    The - AO looks even better today.
  19. frd
    Rather consistent signal there, been there for several days.
  20. frd
    Wonder how far South suppression is ?
  21. frd
    The West based block increases the odds for a more significant snowfall event for our area I believe. I was just commenting yesterday about the CMC and how it might over do blocking, but as you mentioned, other models have trended to it . Awesome looks there !!
  22. frd
    No quick recovery for the PV after the rapid weakening in two weeks. The u-mean 10 hPa 60N does not return to the ERA5 mean until later in March.
  23. frd
  24. frd
  25. frd
    You need to visit other forums in the East and conduct therapy, because if you think its a bummer here at times other forums are even worse. I totally get it though. Its been a very long time for some areas. I understand the frustration.
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