Birds~69

Drizzle.....Seattle style going on. 73F /  DP 71F

Feels like fricken mid Aug outside at 3am,...74F / DP 72F. Just got up, sitting on the frolnt porch, Shorts no shirt, critters making a whole hell lotta noise. No breeze at all, calm.

2 hours ago, JTA66 said:

Also only got down to 69F overnight. I'm pretty confident I'll see an overnight min of 70F or greater before this week is over.

Tues into Wed and/or Wed into Thurs is almost a lock which is pathetic for this time of year. I'm soooo looking forward to this weekend regarding temps... 

39 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Frying pan to possibly the freezer weather coming as the tropical remnants reinforce the trough dropping in.

 

 

I think starting  Fiday will be the official switch to Fall from here on out....no more frying pan.

Highs in the 50s next weekend???

78F / DP 73F....,.Oct???

9 minutes ago, RedSky said:

It's hit or miss with that in the analogs, but does it really matter with old analogs anymore?

 

Not really....weather seems to be way out of whack these days. I could see us getting multiple blizzards this  winter or T storms in Jan.

I may be wrong but don't we want a warm Oct for a better winter? In other words, we don't want snow in Oct. I thought I read something on this board about that???

Kinda feels like shiet out there for Oct.....tomorrow/Sat should be a breathe of fresh air...then another little spike in temps. From the 15th on we will probably not see any temps 70+ for quite a while.

Radar looks pretty lame.

84F/ DP 73F 

2 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Yeah, we're about due for a 70F Christmas Day. Anyway, some additional updates from Accuwx (wish I had better news to share)...

Oct-Dec -- Temps +2F or greater. Back and forth mild/chilly. High overnight mins will continue to be a factor.

Dec -- More of a zonal pattern. Near normal precip, temps could average 3-5F above normal.

Jan -- Coldest air still to our west, but could occasionally work into the pattern. Not much blocking (what else is new?) but some amplification. Could be one or two big snow events.

Feb -- Temps 2-3F below average. Most analogs feature a big Feb snow event. Speaking of analogs ...

1986/87 -- Good winter here, I'd take this in a heartbeat!

1994/1995 -- Other than one storm in Feb '95, not much of a winter.

2006/07 -- Seems everyone has this year as an analog. I will say, this summer was very reminiscent to 2006 -- warm and wet. I think we had snow in Dec 2006, then winter took a long break until mid Feb with a sleet storm. Then another sleet storm in mid March 2007.

This year has been so wacky....I don't what to think. F'en 80's in Oct and probably snow/sleet/fz rain for halloween....I'll make my mind up mid/late Nov.

24 minutes ago, RedSky said:

I want to be where first frosts hit by October 1st and winter starts in mid November with first snow, but not overkill cold and snow. Probably central New England areas I imagine.

 

Exactly, late winters suck...still not giving up hope yet. Let's hope this crappy heat spell dies soon...I'll starting getting pissed if we're still baking in Nov.

Thinking mid Oct we switch to an average to below avg temps at times. But yeah, this sucks...the leaves probably won't fall off the trees till Dec at this rate.

53F

2 hours ago, RedSky said:

Right or at least Bradford PA 

The crappy weather, being over populated, bad contaminated water from the (has been) WG Air Station and expensive to top it off.....this area sucks.May as well go live in the sticks/boonies....cheaper, more snow and the people are probably moe down to earth.

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

55F low

The signal for warmth keeps expanding in the long range, El Nino instead of La Nina but doesn't matter similar Hotober coming. Hotober or Tropicaltober lol.

 

 

I may move to N Maine.......this shiet is getting old real quick.

On 9/25/2018 at 3:20 PM, JTA66 said:

Quick update from Accuwx -- looks like near/slightly above normal temp with near normal precip. Winter starts warm and wet, finishes cold & snowy for our region.

More of a month-to-month breakdown to come.  

This is a horrible type of winter...it should be the other way around. So I guess we''ll have 60s and T-storms for Christmas.

1 hour ago, Birds~69 said:

Pouring like a mofo...

again...cool looking skies as well.

Pouring like a mofo...

Squall type stuff heading in for me...

Major bands of rain running though here (tropical).....

2 hours ago, KamuSnow said:

What a beautiful day - been waiting for this for a while. Nice to see the board back up and running too. Anyone know what the issue was? Didn't get the memo.

Faulty flux capacitor must likely...

But yeah, nice fallish day out there. Mainly cloudy w/temps staying in the upper 60's.

Temps not high, 74F, but the DPs are making things uncomfortable once again at 73F. I don't how many days where we had DPs 70+ but it seems like every day....a common thing.  

Super foggy outside while taking a walk. Between being half asleep (4:45am) and the fog I didn't know where I was at times...lol. 

71F / DP 70F

1 hour ago, KamuSnow said:

Picked up another 0.45" of rain in the last 24 hours, most of it very early this morning. 5 day total is 4.57". Currently 64F and cloudy. Sure is damp these days.

Seeing a little mold where I've never seen before....conditions are ripe.

65F / DP 64F....maybe some T-storms later. 

1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

I don't think the GFS is out to lunch with the N idea, however I really question the stall off the coast... these wound up systems tend to come in further north on the east coast...yes there is a big ass ridge but I really don't think the models are going to have a great grasp on the track until it peaks strength. fascinating to watch unfold though.

Agree, agree and agree.

That's way N...WTF?