Birds~69

Just now, KamuSnow said:

Been noticing how the radar has seemed to show precip farther east than modeled, and it appears they're getting flurries west of D.C., so I'm thinking maybe as early as 8 or 9 pm here, unless the air here is super dry. RH is 52%, so it's not that dry.

Looking forward to tonight! Might have to have the traditional pre-snow kettle fire.

Yeah, I originally thought midnight then jacked it back to 10pm+...now maybe earlier??

Just now, MJO812 said:

Some moderators are too strict on there. I posted models with no content.  Banned. 

Some people go on a power trip being a "Mod"...

Just now, MJO812 said:

I'm banned from that forum

I guess I'm a terrible weenie 

How? You're pretty mellow....

4 minutes ago, nsof said:

Watches wouldn't make sense with the storm mainly being tonight-tomorrow morning. Will stay as WWA or be upgraded to a WSW. WSW criteria is also different for SEPA compared to SNJ so it will be interesting to watch.

I may be I'm losing my mind but I don't remember only a WWA for/a 2-4" event. (if that stays)  And I don't remember a warning for 2-4" (again, if that stays)...it would freak people out. A Watch makes sense to me....tough call.

Just now, JTA66 said:

Thanks! For some reason I thought Philly on S&E only needed 4". I expect a WWA for us, but we'll see.

I think WSW?

Who really cares....give me 2-4" and I could give two shits if I am under a WWA or WSW. 

Just now, Wentzadelphia said:

Most of the old members from this site are on phillywx.com forum Ralph. He used to post here. 

Pretty sure Ralph was here when Tombo was here?

Tombo was a solid poster and did a mean play by play...

The thing screwing Philly the most w/this storm is timing (morning rush hour) IMO more than potential accumulation. Then again many people/students will be virtual...

4 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Philly just needs 4" for warning criteria,  so I could see them under a warning. But yeah...

Atmospheric memory/seasonal trend ftw! 

A storm with six or more inches of snow, sleet and/or freezing rain is expected within a 24-hour period.

https://www.phila.gov/informationcenters/pages/winterweatherinfo.aspx#:~:text=Winter Storm Warning-,Winter Storm Warning,within a 24-hour period.

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

Who is tombo?

Kidding or you don't know?

2 minutes ago, Newman said:

10:1 ratios are still nearly 5" into Philly

If Philly cranks out 5" they'll be pretty much at season average....

2 minutes ago, yankeex777 said:

Let's be honest, when is kuchera ever right?

Exactly...never.

8 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

Euro is legit warning snow I think, tombo thinks so too

Watches will put up in the 3pm - 4pm or so range. I don't think warnings...

Thinking a 10pm - 1am start time....W to E

33F / DP 20F...not that low. Really don't want to deal w/virga... 

26 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Me personally? In Hopewell, NJ we hit 11" snow/sleet on Jan 30-feb 2. Don't think I'll top that this storm but after 7.5" on Sunday, another 3-6" of fluff will be welcome. 

 

I thought PHLs biggest snowfall was only 5.9 for some reason... Think they have a really solid chance at 6 inches.

I think the Dec 16-17th event was a 6.6" event at Philly Int...

14 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I think tonight will be our last "clean" all snow storm for awhile.. upcoming week looks sleety.

If we get a couple inches tonight...maybe a inch Friday then we're due for some snow/sleet/fzn stuff events. In our area we always have to deal with mixing/changeover. Although the totals may not be large we will be receiving constant wintry events which is cool...

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Yeah I know it got biblical, but this could be the one, barring some more  north jogs...

Just a guess but he may be taking his personal life as a priority rather than weather which is unequivocally the worst hobby ever...

Just now, BBasile said:

Mt Holly has it at 8.1".  

Philadelphia International A 8.1 in    0700 AM 02/03   ASOS

That's it then. Had to be hard to give a accurate total w/the long duration, wind, and some sleet mixed in...

Just now, Birds~69 said:

I think he had a meltdown...

Nothing to do w/snow/weather...

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Any sighting of Animal he is actually in a good spot this time

 

I think he had a meltdown...

10 minutes ago, BBasile said:

I think it was 8.1" actually.  

Looks like 7.8 - 7.9" or so....long duration storm.

https://6abc.com/philly-snow-totals-philadelphia-snowstorm-new-jersey-delaware/10248024/

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

What is your biggest snowfall so far ?

Philly burbs have been crushing but Philly's best is 7.7"...

1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

Don't think the N ticks are done. Good for you and me but bad news for dc/balt. This could honestly end up being PHLs biggest snowfall this year... Wouldn't surprise me with the way it is trending.

Nah, I don't think so. Philly had a 7.7" already.

Glenn just now....I'll take it. Philly and the burbs may even be able to sneak in the 3-6" range w/a little more N movement.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nice light snowfall 

No doubt. A fluffy 2-4" type event would be cool with me as a refresher. I have mounds of snow around here currently and staying decently cold for a while it will last...

5 minutes ago, JMcCaughey42 said:

Man I feel kinda bad for the DC folks but I'll gladly take another few inches

They are starting to run into major precip-type issues...