Birds~69

Just now, LVblizzard said:

Don't sleep on Monday. It's looking like there will be a stripe of some pretty solid amounts somewhere between I-80 and the M-D line.

True. Many will see something but more N/W/Lehigh Valley. That could have it's own separate thread?

15 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

That’s kinda been the dagger in the storm, no one wants to start it and be the one that killed the threat Lol. 

I would wait till later tomorrow at the earliest...let's just focus on the next couple runs and hopefully we're still in good shape.

2 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Its actually a miller B but it develops far enough south that we should avoid the classic "screw zone". Honestly there just isn't a lot to pick at negative right now. Very cautiously optimistic but this seems like a text book warning level event for most of the area at minimum. Remember the big ones are usually modeled well in advance.

Ocean temps are above normal but I don't think that will affect us?

Yeah, this has been straight and steady from the get go and many runs....

3 minutes ago, RedSky said:

In the old days a storm centered on the coast like this  this would rain in Philly and all it's burbs. Something changed can't complain lol.

 

I remember it well. Once KYW said it's changed to sleet/rain in Philly I knew I was doomed within an hour....then the window pings started.

2 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Early Thursday morning the low is over Cape May and I95 is getting obliterated what a run

 

We really couldn't ask to be in a better spot...SE PA has been getting drilled on just about every run. 

Just now, RedSky said:

The main show is a crushing, it added Monday snow to Wed-Thur

 

Yep....we're still good.

6 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Didn't see this one coming ECM killed off the Monday snow only up to 1" 

Is this the return of DR NO!
 

 

More than last year.

Wed is my main focus...

3 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said:

Definitely actively rooting against this and for good reason. Flying out Wednesday to Florida so I don't want this flight messed up. I also have my boat covered up and I've never had snow on that or on my gazebo and am extremely concerned about this much snow on both when I'm not there. Fortunately events that look this perfect five days out do not usually pan out but I have my eyes on this one.

Sad to say you won't get much pity here as most (99%) want a bone crushing blizzard...

Still some fog/47F

GFS not holding back. Looks like heavy snow shifted even into NJ. 18"+ Philly N and W...

24 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

Oh, I'm fairly comfortable with small engine repair. I just haven't had the time yet, what with all the other new house stuff that's been needing doing. I told my wife that if it does end up dumping on us, that's when I'll try to get one of them working.

If they are the older Briggs engines you'll get one working w/a little TLC...

Foggy/45F

7 hours ago, CoolHandMike said:

I tell you guys what. My wife and I bought our first house this past October, and it came with not one, but TWO non-working snowblowers, one from the 80's and one of a much newer vintage. (Dunno why. The previous owners were a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.) I've been itching to get either or both of these bad boys up and running, but with the colder weather fast approaching, my wife recently turned to me and said "don't you dare". She's superstitious like that.

So there they sit, in my shed, in all their un-working glory. It would be awesome if our first major storm dumps enough to warrant the operation of such a machine, and I would not complain one bit having to shovel it all out by hand. The first time, at least. So there you go. I'm doing my part, everyone.

 

Put new fuel in, change the spark plug (or see if you're getting spark) and spray starting fluid directly into the carburetor/ throttle housing. It's inexpensive and many times does the trick. Definitely a nice weekend (temp-wise) to be outside... 

^Sustained winds or frequent wind gusts of 35 mph or greater. Visibility of less than a quarter mile due to large amounts of falling or blowing snow. Forecasted continuation of the above conditions for three hours or longer.

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Canadian is a HECS with 1-2' in the megalopolis from DC-BOS.

So excited you posted twice...lol.

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

I know the rgem has at range. Can't confirm that on the ggem. 

My mistake, you're correct. It's the rgem. Scratch what I said...

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

GGEM 

No being a weenie but I think someone in the MA forum said it's been running warm? I have no clue.

2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

ICON is in the Euro and NAM camp now for Monday.  Even more amped up look on the TT site. Seeing some really different looks now as lead time lessens.. Rain to thump of slushy accum snow for most. We take?

Of course!

I always like rain to snow events....the changeover is a adrenaline rush. On the flip side snow to rain is major depression... 

Just now, Animal said:

Need a sold dump at a minimum of 5 inches Wednesday.

Depending on location, that's definitely doable as of now. 

Anything Monday would be a bonus...  

7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Yep. Going to be an interesting week. Would be thrilled to score a few inches of snow by this time Thursday night. Would be disappointing to whiff on both but tbh I wouldn't be shocked. Unlikely, but again, we fail rather well in recent years. Would be just as shocked to score something out of both. Again, not being greedy. Just whiten the ground a bit and let it feel like the holidays and I'm happy.

Snow on snow before Christmas....that would be sweet.

Yeah, I just want some snow on the ground. It makes the outdoor lights look that much better.

1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Monday is looking more and more interesting out this way. Watch Monday be the bigger system of this week.

Things are going our way too much...it's hard to believe. It seems each model run (Mon/Wed events) just confirms the previous one, sometimes better. I'll just enjoy the ride...

17 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

It’s wrong for the city. Maybe some snow in the normal elevated burbs, butbIt’s showing snow with temps above freezing at 925 etc

Yeah. I'm thinking upper Mont/Bucks may see a little something but Lehigh Valley has a good shot. I may see a couple sloppy flakes but that's about it. I don't really care....it's all about Wednesday.

22 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I weenied up and got a weather model.com subscription just to get the 18z euro... Shows snow down to 95 now for Monday.

 

Seems too aggressive...

1 minute ago, JTA66 said:

My inner weenie is saying, "the models like to sniff out the big dogs early."

My Debbie Downer is saying, "11 more chances for Dr. No to change his opinion."

At least there's something to track. We haven't been able to say that for a few years.

I just want to see a road snow covered! Maybe a plow truck? I'm a simple guy...

2 minutes ago, RedSky said:

12z ECM is the healing balm for 2020 lol

 

For today.

We're going to get buzz-killed on one of these runs and contemplate jumping off the Ben Franklin....it's just a matter of when. I'm taking nothing serious till Monday....

I'm happy and giddy now but I won't take anything super serious till Monday with somewhat agreement among models. Like others, I've been down this road waaayyyy too many times....

1 minute ago, Newman said:

12z CMC SMOKES Philly this run lol

 

Yeah but you know this isn't gonna happen. I hope but we're 5 days away....Euro will probably piss us off in a little bit.