Birds~69

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Everybody thrown in the same pot with the new NWS warning interesting scenario

4-6" 

Expectations set at 5" snow and sleet

So shoveling the folks driveway should be nice and light? Outstanding!

Watching Glenn...appears he's heading more sleeti-ish.

29F

22 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Euro says all systems go, should be fun from 7 am - 1 pm tomorrow. Not much mixing at all along 95.

 

Couldn't ask for a better spot for the pink stuff. Iit pretty much covers the majority of this subforum.

What happens after 1pm or so....spotty light stuff till the end?

15 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

I find that model seems to be much better at focusing on region-wide averages.  It will typically not have some of the crazy jackpot zones that other models have.

That makes more sense as a average.

Somehow Allentown will receive 10"+ though....they are a snow magnet.

2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

This model has rocked this year. Looks about right. 
 

any RPM love?

The thing about that model which doesn't make sense is Philly burbs and far burbs don't exceed 6"?

6 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

Accu Weather at 5:48am...pretty much as I would call it at this point.

Accu weather at noon shifted the heavier snow SE  (closer to Philly) from their prediction earlier this morning...

8 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

Yeah that call is pretty darn aggressive for I-95 and south especially...seems like he is all-in on the thump.

He said there will be a 5-6 hr period where it will fall heavy...a.k.a "thump".

28F

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looks good to me. A little higher than I'm expecting but Glen has wrote the book on Philly area snowstorms...literally   I 'll defer to him. 

I'm always worried about a warm layer sneaking in too early and before you know the pinging begins...

Glenn at 11:00am newscast....looks solid to me.

28F

Accu Weather at 5:48am...pretty much as I would call it at this point.

3:41am update

23F

Long duration for sure...

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Hot date 

Or dumped and went bridge jumping with Animal...

25F

1 minute ago, KamuSnow said:

zenmsav6810 could clarify but he's holding his cards close to his vest....

Quite honestly his dated map seems to be pretty correct as far as I'm concerned and I would hold. 3-6" in/around Philly then 6 -8" (or so)  once you hit the burbs...

31F

Just now, KamuSnow said:

Yeah, looks that way. Don't know if there's a second guess map yet.

I don't know his routine...it's confusing. So many guess maps then a final call. Since that one is 10+hrs old...it's probably dated.

^Looks like that was released 1045 this morning?

Winds have really picked up in the last hour or so...(20mph+)

33F

Damn, I've have been paying minimum attention due to outside issues but when did this turn into a long duration system? Early Thurs to Fri late morning/early afternoon??? Again, Damn... 

Just now, snowwors2 said:

“WINTER STORM WATCH” just hoisted‼️‼️

Yep...

21 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Stuck in mt laurel tonight. Anything unsalted is a sheet of ice including side streets. Worst icing I've witnessed in awhile especially down here. Main roads are salted but you can hear people sliding all over the neighborhood.

 

Even though the radar doesn't show it, there's frz mist/drizzle in the air. Went out to see what's going on and almost fell on my ass..

23F

10 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Thursday is trending towards more frozen imo. Should be a nice thump at the very least but it feels like one of those 3-6" slop storms that ends as light rain. Tuesday is dead for almost everyone at this point, only thing to watch there is if the precip keeps increasing. New nam paints a stripe of 1-1.5" qpf through se pa that is mostly liquid. Rgem is juiced up too. Should be a mess as that all falls in 12 hours. Going to run right off...

Many of us would take that regarding Thurs.

I think Mon night will be dicier than today...?

24F

3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

27f here Blue Bell light freezing mist attm accretion beginning on all surfaces. Not wet. Frozen glaze. Maybe you were walking on a brined road or sidewalk?

You had many meltdowns/Ji's in the past...not busting. 

I walked in the street/sidewalks around 3pm and were wet. Recently drove toward the Montgomery Mall (202)...just wet.

Checking police, nothing major...just 3. 

As dark approaches,  of course things will get worse.  

12 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

Has nothing to do with sun angle in this case.  Good lord

No clue what you're talking about.

I just said it's 27F and not icy but wet...that's it. Sun angle plays a part till nightfall...

9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I'm in blue bell attm 26f and glazing

Pavements...roads...or just snow?

1 minute ago, blue sky said:

Sun Angle effects temperature.  Warmer in summers...colder in winter.  How does it affect this storm at 25-27 degrees? 

Accue weather had me at 25 in the boro.

It will heat the surface more so than Dec, Jan...slowly but surely ice/snow will be harder to accumulate on surfaces. I've gone Trout fishing in late March/early April w/early temps in the 20s/30s and by the end of the day, sunburned w/a high of 45-50F.  

3 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Who had a rougher 2020-2021 season, the Euro or Carson Wentz? 

Lol...both a disaster.

Howie is turning down trades I would make in a sec. Somehow he thinks Wentz is an Elite QB? 

10 minutes ago, blue sky said:

I do not understand what you mean about sun angle at 27 degrees?

Changing the subject...I live in north Wales boro and have a temperature of 25.

You're older than me and if you don't know what sun angle means by now, I don't know what to tell you. Not being disrespectful.

Accu weather/Weather Underground have me at 27F. Could they be off by a degree or so...sure?