Birds~69

Appears all systems going as planned:

Temp: Hanging between 23-24F

DP: 12F (so temps will drop w/steady/heavy precip)

Radar filling in and some good echoes moving up...thinking 4-5am we'll see some flakes depending on virga.

See what NWS thinks/update is posted within an hour or so...

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

@greenskeeper should probably stop spamming the forum with weenie reactions and actually post something

That's impossible. He hasn't posted in months/years...that's his job.

I think he'll get drilled and blow up the server w/weenie tags against him if he would make a post...

4 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Right! We would have killed for this the past 4 winters. 

My goal is to get my work/laundry/shower and small crap done before the GFS, Euro then crash till pre-dawn. I'll hang with the Nam beforehand for entertainment purposes.

Overall thinking, 3-5" then "stuff"...not horrible.

22F now, not bad.

3 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

What makes this site so nice is we don't usually call folks weenies.....even if their opinion is different....but clearly not always

??

It happens all the time in every forum (subforum)  on this site. Nothing should be taken that seriously. Anyhow, greenskeeper keeps close guard and weenies violators....and paid well!

23F

Just now, MGorse said:

Okay sure, but at least it will snow again. 

True...

26F

15 minutes ago, MGorse said:

The whole sun angle thing is for real, however some including myself have been burned by this before. Regarding this storm, through about 2 PM Thursday looks like when roads will be the worst but yeah once the snow intensity lessens roads should improve during peak daylight. Of course sleet does not melt as quick on roads so that is a different story. 

I know some like seeing snow during daylight but this would be a much better overnight storm IMO....really much better.

1 minute ago, ChescoWx said:

It exists but for the most part way overblown....for light snow for sure it is an issue for moderate to heavy....it will accumulate - heck S+ will accumulate at 34 degrees at 2pm....

Not at all.

Sure, put it in your weenie book then melts 15 mins later is not real snow. If it gives you a sense of stat accomplishment, carry on....

4 minutes ago, LVwxHistorian said:

Don't mean to state the obvious:  But what a booooorring storm!!!!

Wouldn't go that far....probably couple/several hours of fun.

Just now, Moderately Unstable said:

Mount Holly's writeup also mentioned the sun angle, so it isn't just Glenn. Here's the website I use (both for meteo and other pursuits) plotting solar azimuth for basically any location on earth on any given day (but here linked to Philly): https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/philadelphia. We're up to 38.7 degrees tomorrow at 12:14pm, vs Decem when our angle maxes in the upper 26 degree range. We're heading into the part of the year where the sun angle, day length delta (etc) are all rising rapidly day-to-day. I don't think it matters much for "the thump" but it matters later in the day--so it isn't just cya messaging. They're not wrong. Fun fact: 50 degrees of azimuth is about what you need for UV-B light to reach the surface, and thus, for your skin to produce vitamin D. 

 

Not at all, I agree. It's just some forum members don't think it exist. It really does. Just going outside today w/the sun glaring, it's quite noticeable.

Glenn's last update saying "the snow will accumulate well early on"....meaning sun angle will kick in. 

Glenn's totals, snow/sleet as of 5:20pm and he mentioned "sun angle" for the weenies who don't believe it....

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Everybody thrown in the same pot with the new NWS warning interesting scenario

4-6" 

Expectations set at 5" snow and sleet

So shoveling the folks driveway should be nice and light? Outstanding!

Watching Glenn...appears he's heading more sleeti-ish.

29F

22 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Euro says all systems go, should be fun from 7 am - 1 pm tomorrow. Not much mixing at all along 95.

 

Couldn't ask for a better spot for the pink stuff. Iit pretty much covers the majority of this subforum.

What happens after 1pm or so....spotty light stuff till the end?

15 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

I find that model seems to be much better at focusing on region-wide averages.  It will typically not have some of the crazy jackpot zones that other models have.

That makes more sense as a average.

Somehow Allentown will receive 10"+ though....they are a snow magnet.

2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

This model has rocked this year. Looks about right. 
 

any RPM love?

The thing about that model which doesn't make sense is Philly burbs and far burbs don't exceed 6"?

6 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

Accu Weather at 5:48am...pretty much as I would call it at this point.

Accu weather at noon shifted the heavier snow SE  (closer to Philly) from their prediction earlier this morning...

8 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

Yeah that call is pretty darn aggressive for I-95 and south especially...seems like he is all-in on the thump.

He said there will be a 5-6 hr period where it will fall heavy...a.k.a "thump".

28F

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looks good to me. A little higher than I'm expecting but Glen has wrote the book on Philly area snowstorms...literally   I 'll defer to him. 

I'm always worried about a warm layer sneaking in too early and before you know the pinging begins...

Glenn at 11:00am newscast....looks solid to me.

28F

Accu Weather at 5:48am...pretty much as I would call it at this point.

3:41am update

23F

Long duration for sure...

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Hot date 

Or dumped and went bridge jumping with Animal...

25F

1 minute ago, KamuSnow said:

zenmsav6810 could clarify but he's holding his cards close to his vest....

Quite honestly his dated map seems to be pretty correct as far as I'm concerned and I would hold. 3-6" in/around Philly then 6 -8" (or so)  once you hit the burbs...

31F

Just now, KamuSnow said:

Yeah, looks that way. Don't know if there's a second guess map yet.

I don't know his routine...it's confusing. So many guess maps then a final call. Since that one is 10+hrs old...it's probably dated.

^Looks like that was released 1045 this morning?

Winds have really picked up in the last hour or so...(20mph+)

33F