Birds~69

1 minute ago, ChescoWx said:

It exists but for the most part way overblown....for light snow for sure it is an issue for moderate to heavy....it will accumulate - heck S+ will accumulate at 34 degrees at 2pm....

Not at all.

Sure, put it in your weenie book then melts 15 mins later is not real snow. If it gives you a sense of stat accomplishment, carry on....

4 minutes ago, LVwxHistorian said:

Don't mean to state the obvious:  But what a booooorring storm!!!!

Wouldn't go that far....probably couple/several hours of fun.

Just now, Moderately Unstable said:

Mount Holly's writeup also mentioned the sun angle, so it isn't just Glenn. Here's the website I use (both for meteo and other pursuits) plotting solar azimuth for basically any location on earth on any given day (but here linked to Philly): https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/usa/philadelphia. We're up to 38.7 degrees tomorrow at 12:14pm, vs Decem when our angle maxes in the upper 26 degree range. We're heading into the part of the year where the sun angle, day length delta (etc) are all rising rapidly day-to-day. I don't think it matters much for "the thump" but it matters later in the day--so it isn't just cya messaging. They're not wrong. Fun fact: 50 degrees of azimuth is about what you need for UV-B light to reach the surface, and thus, for your skin to produce vitamin D. 

 

Not at all, I agree. It's just some forum members don't think it exist. It really does. Just going outside today w/the sun glaring, it's quite noticeable.

Glenn's last update saying "the snow will accumulate well early on"....meaning sun angle will kick in. 

Glenn's totals, snow/sleet as of 5:20pm and he mentioned "sun angle" for the weenies who don't believe it....

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Everybody thrown in the same pot with the new NWS warning interesting scenario

4-6" 

Expectations set at 5" snow and sleet

So shoveling the folks driveway should be nice and light? Outstanding!

Watching Glenn...appears he's heading more sleeti-ish.

29F

22 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Euro says all systems go, should be fun from 7 am - 1 pm tomorrow. Not much mixing at all along 95.

 

Couldn't ask for a better spot for the pink stuff. Iit pretty much covers the majority of this subforum.

What happens after 1pm or so....spotty light stuff till the end?

15 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

I find that model seems to be much better at focusing on region-wide averages.  It will typically not have some of the crazy jackpot zones that other models have.

That makes more sense as a average.

Somehow Allentown will receive 10"+ though....they are a snow magnet.

2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

This model has rocked this year. Looks about right. 
 

any RPM love?

The thing about that model which doesn't make sense is Philly burbs and far burbs don't exceed 6"?

6 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

Accu Weather at 5:48am...pretty much as I would call it at this point.

Accu weather at noon shifted the heavier snow SE  (closer to Philly) from their prediction earlier this morning...

8 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said:

Yeah that call is pretty darn aggressive for I-95 and south especially...seems like he is all-in on the thump.

He said there will be a 5-6 hr period where it will fall heavy...a.k.a "thump".

28F

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Looks good to me. A little higher than I'm expecting but Glen has wrote the book on Philly area snowstorms...literally   I 'll defer to him. 

I'm always worried about a warm layer sneaking in too early and before you know the pinging begins...

Glenn at 11:00am newscast....looks solid to me.

28F

Accu Weather at 5:48am...pretty much as I would call it at this point.

3:41am update

23F

Long duration for sure...

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Hot date 

Or dumped and went bridge jumping with Animal...

25F

1 minute ago, KamuSnow said:

zenmsav6810 could clarify but he's holding his cards close to his vest....

Quite honestly his dated map seems to be pretty correct as far as I'm concerned and I would hold. 3-6" in/around Philly then 6 -8" (or so)  once you hit the burbs...

31F

Just now, KamuSnow said:

Yeah, looks that way. Don't know if there's a second guess map yet.

I don't know his routine...it's confusing. So many guess maps then a final call. Since that one is 10+hrs old...it's probably dated.

^Looks like that was released 1045 this morning?

Winds have really picked up in the last hour or so...(20mph+)

33F

Damn, I've have been paying minimum attention due to outside issues but when did this turn into a long duration system? Early Thurs to Fri late morning/early afternoon??? Again, Damn... 

Just now, snowwors2 said:

“WINTER STORM WATCH” just hoisted‼️‼️

Yep...

21 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Stuck in mt laurel tonight. Anything unsalted is a sheet of ice including side streets. Worst icing I've witnessed in awhile especially down here. Main roads are salted but you can hear people sliding all over the neighborhood.

 

Even though the radar doesn't show it, there's frz mist/drizzle in the air. Went out to see what's going on and almost fell on my ass..

23F

10 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Thursday is trending towards more frozen imo. Should be a nice thump at the very least but it feels like one of those 3-6" slop storms that ends as light rain. Tuesday is dead for almost everyone at this point, only thing to watch there is if the precip keeps increasing. New nam paints a stripe of 1-1.5" qpf through se pa that is mostly liquid. Rgem is juiced up too. Should be a mess as that all falls in 12 hours. Going to run right off...

Many of us would take that regarding Thurs.

I think Mon night will be dicier than today...?

24F

3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

27f here Blue Bell light freezing mist attm accretion beginning on all surfaces. Not wet. Frozen glaze. Maybe you were walking on a brined road or sidewalk?

You had many meltdowns/Ji's in the past...not busting. 

I walked in the street/sidewalks around 3pm and were wet. Recently drove toward the Montgomery Mall (202)...just wet.

Checking police, nothing major...just 3. 

As dark approaches,  of course things will get worse.  

12 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

Has nothing to do with sun angle in this case.  Good lord

No clue what you're talking about.

I just said it's 27F and not icy but wet...that's it. Sun angle plays a part till nightfall...