WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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5:30pm. : 48F and dark
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Happy hour suppresses the Friday storm even more, but has something sort of similar to the Euro D9. Doesnt drop much snow verbatim, but similar idea.
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Ugh, Vinateri cundiffed it.
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I just hope when a pattern relax happens that it’s a reload and doesn’t flip back to big SE ridge. But hopefully this is the dominant background forcing (IO forcing the MJO in favorable phases, ENSO, QBO, etc) showing it’s hand.
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Lots of Barney either way.
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I imagine he’s trolling but hard to tell with him sometimes. Sort of like his views on climate.
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GFS with high temps 30F below normal in 10 days. Lol I’ll take the over. As for snow, I consider any non accumulating snow that is noticeable to everyone, and not just us squinting at microscopic flakes, to be great in November. Measurable is a total win.
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Raked about 12 bags of leaves today. Most of the leaves of my trees are down, so the rest of my raking will be my lazy neighbors’ leaves.
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I assume that 1 EPS member posted is the only one that gives us snow since the mean is like 0.1-0.5” for DC and north?
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Are we back to the same cycle of cold November that turns into Torchmas yet again?
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@biodhokie and @tplbge tied for the lead with a departure of 2 days, with @biodhokie hitting BWI exactly. @Stormpc next with a departure of 3 days. If DCA and RIC hit next Saturday as looks likely with the forecast, @biodhokie would win with @yoda coming in 2nd.
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Found another link: https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_table_mesodyn.cgi?stn=KIAD&unit=0&time=LOCAL&year1=2014&month1=4&day1=07&hour1=08&hours=24&past=0&order=1 Low of 30 at IAD, 32 at BWI, 35 at RIC, and 37 at DCA.
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Woo!
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Weather.gov pages I use to look at the airport obs stopped updating around midnight. Weird. Anyone have another link?
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First freeze IMBY. Nearby PWS hit 32. Wunderground map has temps between 28-31 nearby.
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72: trough digging more, looks juiced 96: snowing in Roanoke, here it comes 108: all rain, but temps a smidge colder
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12z gfs says what’s up
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Ready and waiting. I bet IAD and BWI hit tonight or Monday morning . Maybe RIC too. DCA probably waits until next weekend .
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Good to see you, friend. Seems like this winter could feature many of the things we’ve seen a lot this decade. -EPO driven cold shots, predominantly +NAO, variable AO, and moisture around. So like most winters this decade, we probably will get a lot of nickels and dimes and maybe if we’re lucky a Susan B. Anthony or two.
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Euro dropping Barney’s hammer next weekend
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Cohen says snowcover advance index supports -AO! Here we go!!! #sarcasm
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My tulip magnolia went from green to 75% bare in under 10 days. Probably totally bare by tomorrow.
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Ggem and gfs just casually 17F apart for Saturday morning. Ggem has bwi down to 26, gfs at 43. Last nights euro was 35.
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I don’t think you can use old analogs (pre-2000? But certainly pre-1990) without accounting for the background climate warming. Maybe they did that, but when i see these old analogs I get skeptical.
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Like 3 days ago...
