It’s REALLY close. @mappy and @psuhoffman are huggin’.
Its been very stubbornly north even when the regular GFS started shifting. Seems like a big jump this run.
FWIW...My generic FB forecast for friends and family is 3-5" Sunday with more after and best guess total accumulation 5-10" for DC-Balt corridor. But with more upside risk than downside.
@psuhoffman did you see that northern stream energy on the backside of the trough dive in? It was like 12-18hrs too late, but if that could speed up...
You said more elegantly what I was trying to get at. It's pretty close to something Ukie-GGEM like. Nitnoid details in precip and banding. After 24hrs of forecast divergence, pretty good consensus today at 12z.