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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Well…not great
  2. WxUSAF
    Need a couple more radar cycles. Those storms are just developing so hard to say which way they’re moving. And wouldn’t shock me at all if more develop over us.
  3. WxUSAF
    That’s what I was getting at. The biggest gap is trying to close. Not a solid line yet, but could see it getting there.
  4. WxUSAF
    I don’t hate the current radar
  5. WxUSAF
    And ensembles keep a trough over us in the means for the next 2 weeks. Seasonable heat? Sure. But no sign of any persistent mid-upper 90s kinda Bermuda high. If we can get through mid-august without that, climatology starts working in our favor.
  6. WxUSAF
    Stratospheric circulation is slow and cross-equatorial mixing is even slower. So there wasn’t significant water vapor in the norther hemisphere when the winter PV was established. That’s changed now.
  7. WxUSAF
    Pinatubo was very much the cause of that +AO. I think the very high stratospheric water vapor levels from the HTHH eruption are a potential big wild card for this coming winter.
  8. WxUSAF
    Model guidance really choked on the lack of overnight showers and storms.
  9. WxUSAF
    2nd hottest then! And wouldn’t discount an interhourly that’s warmer.
  10. WxUSAF
    At least 96F at BWI today. Hottest of the year I think.
  11. WxUSAF
    Self evidently seems like someone poised to replace Mullins potentially. Apparently some questions about his hitting, but if there’s one biggest strength about the new Orioles player development, it’s turning prospects into absolute beasts at the plate. I bet they can polish up his hitting.
  12. WxUSAF
    Ohtani would be amazing but absolutely 0% chance. Fun to dream about though.
  13. WxUSAF
    Undefeated in the Colton Cowser era. What a day for the organization. Most wins at the AS break since 97, promoted the #1 prospect in baseball to AA, promoted Coby Mayo to AAA, and about to draft 3 new prospects.
  14. WxUSAF
    Kinda skunked here (~0.1”) but eastern HoCo has jacked several times in the last 7-10 days so can’t complain
  15. WxUSAF
    Looks like mostly a miss in east Columbia but I was driving on I-97 home from the beach when that line hit and it was blinding. Most cars pulled over and stopped. Visibility was probably down to a 1/4 mi or less.
  16. WxUSAF
    I-83 jackpot zone
  17. WxUSAF
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=673&yr=2023
  18. WxUSAF
    Nearest PWS was like 0.1-0.2”. A lot more only a short walk east. Nearest CoCoRAHS (just east of me) was like 0.5”.
  19. WxUSAF
    Got 0.75” at home earlier
  20. WxUSAF
    Hush you!
  21. WxUSAF
    Yup. Win this next series and that’s a lot of positive momentum.
  22. WxUSAF
    Hearing thunder at work in Greenbelt but no rain yet. Wife says “torrential” downpour at home.
  23. WxUSAF
    1/2”+ IMBY and counting
  24. WxUSAF
    Very Florida like. Storms practically stationary, outflow boundaries crisscrossing all over, new storms popping where they met, etc
  25. WxUSAF
    That one cell in SE HoCo is missing my house so far by like 1/4mi.
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