WxUSAF

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

Jb was saying 20 30:1 ratios

Remind me to put my snowboard up at 900mb

Gfs has shown that dual-banded look as well

I’m still rooting for our HECS, but I’m excited to get the mulch beds growing. I probably need to order like 7-8 yards this year…

5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

When do we start the rescue thread lol?

This is all on track. Keeps drying out until the tomorrow 18z runs. Then we make our epic last 30 hour juice up to warning level.

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I hope your kid is out of school for the entirety of a week and you’re stuck playing outside every day while a cold, hostile wind blows drifts into your driveway and you can’t escape for days. I hope there are abandoned cars in your neighborhood and the main thoroughfare look like a third world country with no snowplows.  

And you have to start burning furniture for warmth. You have to eat the hamster because you run out of food and can’t get to the stores, which are also out of food. You begin training your daughter in snowshoe making. 

10 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Think there’s any chance SSW gives us some hope for Smarch?


.

We’ve had 1 minor and (potentially) 2 major SSWs and they’ve all been weird with bottom-up and top-down connections. I said before this winter that I think people will write papers about this winter and I’m fully confident of that now.

Just now, Bob Chill said:

Course or fine? Important detail 

Fine as a baby’s asshair

Thread on how we lost the -NAO signal. 

6z gfs very similar to 0z with asshair tick south 

Ok new thread for this conversation.  Posts here will be hidden.

Discussion here and here only 

Remember that separate thread idea I mentioned an hour ago??

Whatever happens for the rest of this winter, we're going to consolidate the post mortem and its future implications in a single thread. I'd actually prefer if someone starts that now and starts putting the conversation there.  

Lalalock that upppp

Just now, Chris78 said:

Did any of the airports pick up anything today ? 

In regards to the snowfall contest?

Dulles had at least 0.6”

6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

But how can this one trend better, though? It seems like more of a quick hitter...and it's not like we need it to trend souther...so where would the extra juice come from?

Yeah there’s a ceiling here given the setup, but again, so was the comparison I mentioned.

2 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

I guess it is ok. Maybe 1-2 wouldn't be something I think of as a solid hit but maybe that is me. Maybe it can juice up some. The fact it gets in during nighttime is very helpful.

Said this the other day but this reminds me of the Friday storm in our January week of winter. Similar setup with a northern stream low (hopefully) passing to our south. That also looked like a dusting-2” at this range. We’ve had positive short term trends in all 4 accumulating snow events we’ve had this winter (4 in our backyards). Maybe we can make it 5.

1 hour ago, Ji said:

lets get it

Mean track to our south on the GEFS. Not a bad look. 

Plenty of time to take this down to nothing then build it back to a warning level event.

GGEM really close for the PSU storm

43 minutes ago, yoda said:

Congratulations MD

Thanks!

On 1/20/2024 at 7:12 AM, WxUSAF said:

January 19, 2024: 5.4”

total: 10.9” 

basically exactly 50% of climo

February 13, 2024: 0.3”

total: 11.2”

0.3” will do it for me. Still snowing but rates aren’t compensating for temps and sun angle now. Fun to pull something out of nothing! 

0.3” on the board. Probably can get to 1/2”.

Kinda dumping right now. Very pretty