WxUSAF

Thunder. Did not expect that.

6 minutes ago, Winter Wizard said:

I don't think the cloud cover maps are worth anything at this lead, but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't nervous for TX. Pretty overwhelming signal for at least some cloud cover if not precip at the leeside of the trough. Need that thing to hold off 24 hours or so.

Odds have of sunny skies have definitely increased in New England and near the Lakes with the ridge, but I caution that mesoscale processes that can't be sniffed yet have often ruined sunny days. I would not really feel comfortable on the northern edge just knowing climo. 

I'm staying in San Antonio but bracing for a backup in Arkansas. Backup to the backup is in Illinois or Missouri. And final option would be Boston to northern New England. Hopefully doesn't come to that.

I might be back to rooting for that front/trough to speed up and stay more consolidated. 

Ensembles trending wrong way for TX 

12z GEFS continues slower western trough trend, although not weaker. 

Somewhat positive start to the 12z suite with gfs and GGEM ops both again weakening and slowing the western trough. Keeps TX dry although verbatim there’s still clouds. 

^disaster

Starting to get pretty worried. 

trend is for that western trough to be weaker and slower. I was hoping it would actually be faster and clear TX before Monday. But that doesn’t look like it’s happening. So I think I need to continue to root for weaker and slower and hope it doesn’t start pulling moisture into TX until Tuesday or after. 

What a washout of a week on tap starting late Sunday. 0z euro says 2-4” through the metro area.

That was dominant

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Why I refuse to book flights and hotels for things like this. I’d be panicking. I’ll hop in my car and hope for the best!

We are doing more than just the eclipse but it would be a bummer 

10 days out and I’m starting to get worried for Texas…

Rain looks east of progs?

1 hour ago, MN Transplant said:

Pretty gross day.  I’d be fine if the slug of rain missed us east tomorrow.

Orioles opening day on the line

My view from Russell street ramp earlier 

3 hours ago, MN Transplant said:

Tomer set up an eclipse ensemble page:  http://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/products/realtime/eclipse/

12z GEFS cloud cover is worst yet for TX totality path 

Think it’s lucky to have happened at the time of the day with the least possible traffic. 

Yes please 

Violets are native at least! Host plants for some butterflies as well. 

Low of 25. Colder than I thought it’d be.

La la lock it up!

39 with driving rain. March!

He’s been banned repeatedly 

BWI 28

DCA 32

Down to 25.9 just now per my PWS. Magnolia blossoms probably kaput.

30 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

70 at DCA 

Yesterday WTOP radio met called highs near 50 “well below normal” for this time of year