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strongwxnc

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Everything posted by strongwxnc

  1. Awesome! Even for me it keeps me mostly if not all snow through out. WOW>
  2. Back and forth it goes Skip...
  3. All snow here! Had a good rain/sleet/snow mix for about 20 minutes before it changed over! Lets roll
  4. Sleet had mixed out and it’s a snow rain mix. Still 36. .
  5. Still crazy wet man. Wow. Im turning over here to a nice mix. More sleet than snow. Other than the SPC page, any other page to view real time sounding data?
  6. It has begun here. 36 with a rain/sleet snow mix. BOOM
  7. And they have not changed that 9 in 10 chance map in a while. Looking good.
  8. Drove out 3 miles from my house to a place along the cherry mountain chain. 3 degrees cooler with a good rain/snow mix. only about 600’ difference between the two. .
  9. Dang Jonathan this is so juiced! As I type sitting inside that yellow contour.
  10. Sure is. Really hoping I can cash out down here before that beef or a warm nose comes in. We shall see.
  11. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=19&parm=925mb Change the sector at the top and toggle through tabs.
  12. the 925 level just went below 0 in my county. 39 degrees.
  13. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 1249 PM EST Sat Dec 8 2018 .SYNOPSIS... With cold Canadian high pressure to our north and low pressure passing to our south, we are having a major winter storm. The low pressure moves off the Carolina coast Sunday evening taking most of the wintry weather with it. The last of the light precipitation finally ends Monday night when the upper trough passes. Cool high pressure will be in control Tuesday and Wednesday, then the next storm system arrives at the end of the week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 1245 PM: No additional changes have been made to the current hazard suite pending full inspection of the 12Z model data. The morning adjustments were made in light of slightly warmer 850 mb temperatures on the 12Z FFC raob than apparent in the numerical models, and slightly colder Sunday AM surface temperatures penetrating farther south in the cold wedge in the incoming model solutions. These adjustments gave slightly more confidence to upgrading the northern portion of the lingering Winter Storm Watch to a Warning, and posting a Winter Weather Advisory for the southern piedmont where light icing is looking a bit more likely early Sunday. Otherwise, precip rates will steadily increase this afternoon into the evening as low-to-mid level frontogenetical forcing intensifies, and forcing deepens with the approach of a potent short wave trough from the lower MS and TN Valleys. Meanwhile, surface ridge associated with expansive 1035+ mb Arctic high pressure spilling east of the central Appalachians will continue to nose down the Eastern Seaboard, with a strengthening gradient between the surface high and Gulf Coast cyclone and diabatic effects from falling precipitation resulting in an intensifying cold air damming regime, which is forecast to become quite strong from late afternoon into this evening. Advection of sub-freezing wet bulb surface air will therefore increase substantially into our forecast area during this time, which will allow for a steady transition from rain to snow from northeast to southwest across the Piedmont/foothills this evening through the overnight. This transition is expected to occur along the I-40 corridor early this evening, pushing as far south as the I-85 corridor between midnight and daybreak. It is during this time that the operational model guidance diverges with respect to their thermal fields, as the NAM is insistent in pushing a substantial warm nose into the Piedmont, suggesting a transition to sleet and rain/freezing rain along and south/east of the I-85 corridor, while the GFS paints mostly a rain/snow scenario for the entire area, with perhaps some sleet mixing in across the Piedmont. The NAM often tends to do a fairly decent job in handling warm nose features during coastal cyclone scenarios, while the other operational guidance tends to under-do them. That being the case, the NAM thermal fields were blended in heavily with other guidance to produce tonight`s p-type forecast. The result is a swath of warning- level ice accretion forecast along I-85 and locations within about a county to the southeast, while sleet and FZRA mixing in with snow substantially cut into forecast snowfall totals along and near I85.
  14. That will be a good one to watch. Thanks! Good snow at 2,350'
  15. 39 with mod rain mixing with snow. Dropped 4 degrees in the last 30 when the heavier returns came in. .
  16. Dropped about 4 degrees with his current mod rain. Got some mixing at 39. .
  17. The warm nose always been modeled for my area most of the week. However, Im pulling for some high totals for yall boys. With that said, like all SE systems, we still don't know $hit until game time. Crack a beer, and enjoy the ride!
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