strongwxnc

Let’s see them maps .

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 300 PM Friday...Winter Storm Watches will be upgraded to Warnings with this afternoon forecast package, as confidence continues to increase in a significant winter event this weekend. A strong low pressure system will track from the Lower MS Valley thru the Deep South Saturday night, then across the Carolinas Sunday, lifting NE of the area Sunday night. Models are in good agreement on the track and overall evolution of the cyclone. Strong forcing and ample moisture will provide a period of solid precip band crossing the area late Saturday night thru at mid-aftn Sunday, then a dry slot will punch in from the south and a deformation zone will pivot over the area Sunday evening. There will be nice supply of cold air, as a 1030-1035 mb sfc high will move across the Great Lakes to New England, causing strong hybrid cold air damming. So the forecast is on track for the mountains to get mostly snow with this entire event. Where it remains murky (as usual) is across most of the Piedmont, especially along I-85 and to the south. The 12z models have trended stronger with a warm nose punching in with the warm conveyor belt, transitioning snow to sleet and freezing rain. In fact, it starts out warm enough that our southern zones from Elbert to Chester counties go straight from rain to freezing rain. The latest trends result an uptick in ice accums across the entire Piedmont, and less snow/sleet. Either way, confidence is high enough on snow, sleet and/or ice impacts to upgrade the entire watch to a warning. Damaging accumulations of ice continue to appear more likely along and south of a line from Anderson to Spartanburg to Gastonia, to Salisbury, including Charlotte and vicinity. Northwest of there, morning snow/sleet followed by a likely transition to freezing rain/drizzle of a few hours is expected to result in a somewhat narrow zone of a mixed bag of accums of 2 to 5 inches. Gusty NE winds within the CAD will add to the threat of power outages as ice accums on sides of wires, branches and poles. The forecast for the mountains and NC foothills continues to look on track, where 8-12 inches/locally higher amounts of mostly snow continue to look like the best bet. Strong cold advection combined with snow pack in some locations will result in min temps Sun night 10-15 degrees below normal...or well below freezing in most areas, so little improvement in road conditions can be expected through Monday morning. A brief, moist northwest flow in the wake of the departing cyclone could result in additional light accums across mainly the high elevations of the TN border counties Sun night.

Great thoughts. Im N 35 miles north hwy 11.

Curious to read their thoughts on the mid layers.

Agree 100%!

Just crazy !

Dude!

NWS forecast from the bottom SE corner of Rutherford to the NW. The actual amounts for Sunday not posted just Saturday night totals. Bottom SE corner Saturday Night A slight chance of rain before 8pm, then snow. Low around 24. Northeast wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Snow, freezing rain, and sleet before 3pm, then snow and sleet likely between 3pm and 4pm, then snow likely after 4pm. High near 30. Blustery, with a northeast wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 9 to 14 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. My area around Bostic Saturday Night A chance of rain before 8pm, then snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Northeast wind 6 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Sunday Snow before noon, then snow and sleet between noon and 3pm, then snow likely after 3pm. High near 30. Northeast wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Near Spindale (about 6 miles NWW of Bostic Saturday Night A chance of rain and snow before 8pm, then snow. Low around 23. Northeast wind 5 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Sunday Snow. High near 30. Northeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Rutherford Mountain area Saturday Night A chance of rain and snow before 7pm, then snow. Low around 21. Light east northeast wind becoming north northeast 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Sunday Snow. High near 28. North wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

No doubt. It has also been consistent.

Cool. Im about 20 miles little south East from Chimney rock. I have some land in the Lake Lure area.

Just need to get through today and into the early morning hours tomorrow before we can really start to hone on of nowcasting. !

And I live at the end of the arrow. Super thin line

Wow back to heavy snow also down this way. SN-IP-SN.

Boy that is the true for sure!

Yup same place near the cherry mountain chain.

I was able to raise my station up higher at my house in hopes of getting a better reading from the N. Hoping to get better reading this go around.

They have been very solid the past several runs for sure.

Never to early to start looking at the surface

Sure Does and it so total win.

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 315 am Friday: GSP Damaging accumulations of ice therefore appear more likely along and south of a line from Anderson to Spartanburg to Gastonia, to Salisbury, including Charlotte and vicinity. Northwest of there, morning snow/sleet followed by a likely transition to freezing rain/drizzle of a few hours is expected to result in a somewhat narrow zone of a wintry slurry of 2 to 5 inches. Finally, little has changed regarding the forecast for the mountains and NC foothills, where 8-12 inches/locally higher amounts of mostly snow continue to look like the best bet. I hope I'm further NW of that line but it will be close so MBY. Im a little NNE of the dot in the middle of Rutherford County.

The dry slot in energy transfers always need to be watched. Most likely a nowcasting event once we start radar watching.

Good lord it does. Over 14" down in the foothills now.

Boom 4.3" in three hours.. nice! http://www.wxcaster.com/models_text.htm