EasternLI

Yeah, I've seen a couple papers that attributed it to the super Nino. A more recent paper goes into some greater detail. I can't help but wonder if the powerful +IOD event last year played some role in the odd behavior of this year. https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/20/6541/2020/ In addition to the anomalous behavior in the tropical lower stratosphere in 2015/2016, we explored the forcing of the unusually long-lasting westerly zonal wind phase in the middle stratosphere (at 20 hPa). Our results reveal that mainly enhanced Kelvin wave activity contributed to this feature. This was in close relation with the strong El Niño event in 2015/2016, which forced more Kelvin waves in the equatorial troposphere. The easterly or very weak westerly zonal winds present around 30–70 hPa allowed these Kelvin waves to propagate vertically and deposit their momentum around 20 hPa, maintaining the westerlies there.

Interestingly enough, the qbo that year actually was westerly below 30mb to the tropopause. This year actually looks to do that as well albeit with a thicker vertical profile. Also interesting in that 2007-08 was completely different then this year. Merely a couple observations. Cheers.

Worked this up for October 1970

Here's a newer paper on the MJO - AO connection. But also how the QBO modulation plays into it. For anyone who is interested in a little reading. It's open access. https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/2/175

These blasted 3 part ridges are always the kiss of death. Or are they?? I found that particular pattern to be interesting. So I did a little digging. Only instance of this that I've found in a nina thus far. Doesn't mean jack, just something interesting. At least I thought so. Seemed appropriate to post it here now.

In a MEI sense, 2007 looks like the best fit.

My girlfriend lives in Branford. She says trees blocking roads everywhere, and a tree came down in front of her on the way home from work. Took her 3 hrs for a 20 min trip. This was somewhere on Rt. 1

Merry Christmas

Big Iceland storm, looks wild.

If we look at the 2 October's from your example and compare with this October from your post. One is a little more interesting.

Yeah, hopefully we'll pay dearly come DJF.

Pumpkins everywhere!!

Didn't feel it

Happy Thanksgiving folks

I agree with your main point here. It's November, right. The thing is, seeing blocking show up for the end of Nov. like this, is kind of what you want to see in a la nina. The ratter years, for the most part, didn't have it. That's what it's all about right now, at least for me.

They were.

Yes... Oh wait you mean the weather.