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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Next weekend is still a period of interest. But it's tough to be enthused with the way things have gone.
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Only way I could see any meaningful changes one way or another, is if changes occur with handling that northern vort digging in on the backside. It's still out in the Pacific. But that just seems like a long shot TBH.
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Yup, agree. It's been a wild ride watching how this thing has emerged. Just need to keep watching things. I feel like something will pop up next week at some point on models. Gotta get this thing out of the way first though.
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Keep an eye on next weekend. Especially after this stemwinder gets out of the way. Nothing is going to blatantly stick out from long range in this type of pattern IMO. But there's something there.
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Welcome back to the 80s vibes thus far.
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You're seeing dual lows on that from some solutions. I said nothing about actual effects anywhere. Good grief. Just my read on the output. Nobody is trying to take your snow away.
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Here's the EPS 12z. I feel like we're coming really close to model concensus today. Powerful storm, inside runner track.
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Convection. That's why I think you see those lows off shore on the GEFS. While the main area of low pressure is still riding up just inland. Where the best dynamics are. Meso lows offshore. That's my take.
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This is a nice level headed view of the situation IMO. I agree with this approach.
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Hard to say without dissecting every one of them. I'm not getting into all of that lol. Could be.
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Sometime around the end of next week looks to be the next storm chance after the current one impending. So there's more opportunity ahead.
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Maybe. But let me ask you this. If it were the ops trailing to the east and the ensembles were west, would we be abandoning ensembles then?
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I realize some have decided that the ensembles are useless here, however I'm going to keep posting them.
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06z eps, bunch of inside runners. The mean isn't awful yet though. We keep monitoring.
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Just have to see how it goes through the coming days. That's a little too close for comfort now though IMO.
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