cny rider

There are going to be big gradients in snowfall across Otsego and Delaware Counties. I'm in north-central Otsego. We sat at 32F all night. Just a fraction above so the cars were wet but the ground is a glacier. The last couple of ticks SE have made our outlook much brighter.

Steady 31F here for the last 4 hours. Intermittent rain and drizzle. It's a skating rink out there. Unfortunately it looks like I'm one county too far east for the best snow action tomorrow. I just need the low track to head east by 50 miles! Rooting for all you guys too of course.

With fresh snow I predict you will love the Wilmington trail.

We had moved into our house in 2001 and planted at least a dozen lilacs. They had all survived the winter and leafed out beautifully. We woke that morning to about 4 inches of heavy wet oatmeal consistency snow. Lilacs took a beating. About half of them never full recovered. I think it was because they had just been transplanted the year before. I can still remember my wife outside in her work clothes trying to gently shake the snow off some of them. No bueno.

The ceiling grade for this winter is now a C-. That's the upside potential with a big turnaround in February and March that we don't even see on the horizon. The current grade is D. F is not out of the question. If this winter was a kid taking my class I'd advise them to withdraw or audit the class, because the likelihood of an F is extremely high.

Oh it's flipped all right. Flipping us off!

It's funny they talk about the BM track all the time over on the NE forum. My benchmark here is the center of LI. Track from Jersey coast ---> center of LI is almost a guaranteed winner here.

Nice! Did you do any skiing? Nordic? Alpine?

Sorry man you’re right. its January and we haven’t cross country skied or skated on our pond in weeks. It’s making me crabby.

Was my use of the word "If" not clear?

If this storm busts.....and we really go back into the 40's by late week, then let's just end it. This is a sad, pathetic excuse for a winter. I might as well go spend winter in Tucson.

He’s just about to make the turn into Wegmans.

thanks, didn't realize you are that far west.

Wolfie how far are you from BREIA (Egypt Road trails)? Curious if conditions will be good there tomorrow. Thanks.

Heartily agree! There are things that should improve with time for Josh, like his accuracy and his ability to make quick reads at the line of scrimmage. Of course another really good receiver will help too. Maybe Duke Williams makes that leap next year. What worries me though are the impulsive, spur of the moment really stupid things that he does. I don't know if they can be coached out of him. Daboll certainly hasn't been able to. As an example: Once you've fumbled umpteen times in the season, and cost your team dearly, you think you would start to understand you have to wrap the ball up tight after contact and get down and go get em on the next play. Seems obvious, right? But not to Josh, at least not so far.

I'm blaming Josh for some really stupid mistakes in the second half. He's a great athlete with great potential to be a star QB......but if they cannot beat the stupid out of him it's going to be for naught.

I agree with the others....I'll see your 10 days of terrible and raise to 14, at least on the GEFS. The Aleutian ridge is driving a pattern that's poison for us.

"Upgraded" to an ice storm warning here. Not something I desire. Straddling the line on a rainy day tomorrow versus a potentially damaging ugly ice storm. One of the rare times I would prefer the warmer solution.

Last night I watched the Sabres play the Bruins. This morning I flipped though the 500mb GEFS and EPS charts. I can't even tell which is more depressing but I can tell you neither one was a positive experience.

Hope you post a ski report. We have never been to either of those but thinking about Big Sky for next winter.

I just flipped through the GEFS and EPS. No bueno. Hard to get rid of the deep low out by Alaska........strongly positive NAO and a lot of Pacific flow over the next 10-14 days. I'm trying to focus on all the times things looked perfect and then went to hell . Hoping the opposite can happen here.

I'm at work and can't check myself, but the fact that nobody is saying a word about the Euro tells me it can't be good.

That was some game. What's with the sloppy tackling all of a sudden? They coulda, shoulda won. As usual.

Wow does that suck. I mean you look up the word "sucks" in the winter weather dictionary, you get that image.

If the 330 hour GFS says it, it must be true. Lock it in!