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Tyler Penland

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    2018 Mountains and Foothills Spring/Summer thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    ...Flash Flooding Threat From Florence This Weekend Into Monday...
    .Hurricane Florence Will Slowly Track Inland Later Today Into Saturday Across South Carolina, Then Turn Northwest Across The Southern Appalachians Sunday, And Head Into The Central Appalachians Monday. With Soils Saturated Or Becoming Saturated,
    The Threat Of Flash Flooding Is Likely To Develop This Weekend Into Monday.
    ...Flash Flood Watch In Effect From Saturday Morning Through Monday Evening...
    The National Weather Service In Blacksburg Has Issued A
    * Flash Flood Watch For Portions Of North Carolina And Southwest Virginia, Including The Following Areas, In North Carolina,
    Alleghany Nc, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry,
    Watauga, Wilkes, And Yadkin. In Southwest Virginia, Carroll,
    Floyd, Grayson, And Patrick.
    * From Saturday Morning Through Monday Evening
    * Heavy Rain From Florence Will Lead To Flash Flooding Across The Area, Especially By Saturday Afternoon And Evening Into Monday.
    5 To 10 Inches Of Rain Are Expected, With Locally Higher Amounts Of A Foot Or More Possible Along The Blue Ridge.
    * Life-Threatening Flash Flooding May Develop As Heavy Rain Bands Occur This Weekend Into Monday. Streams And Creeks May Rise Quickly During Heavy Rain And Flood. Larger Rivers Eventually May Rise To Flood Stage As Well.
    * Rainfall Of More Than Five Inches In Similar Storms Has Been Associated With An Increased Risk Of Landslides And Rock Slides.
    If You Live On A Mountainside Or In A Cove At The Base Of A Mountain...Especially Near A Stream...Be Ready To Leave In Advance Of The Storm Or As Quickly As Possible Should Rising Water...Moving Earth...Or Rocks Threaten. Consider Postponing Travel Along Mountain Roads During The Period Of Heavy Rainfall.

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    2018 Mountains and Foothills Spring/Summer thread

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    I just don't get this.  I understand the mountains may have flooding problems due to heavy rainfall, but it's not going to arrive until Saturday or Sunday up there.  Why cancel classes for Thursday and Friday?
    They said they were doing so to allow students that live close to the coast to go help prepare. Lots of students up here from Raleigh and East.

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    Hurricane Florence

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Rainforrest said:

    How much rain are we looking at for the mountains?

    Looks like 4-6+ on the TT maps for the FV3, but that would almost definitely be underdone in the SE facing escarpment areas. Strong, moist SE flow is the last thing you want to see and I wouldn't be surprised for some areas to see a foot or more. Only good news is that it's actually moving by then instead of just crawling.

    Hurricane Florence

    in Southeastern States

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, WidreMann said:

    I also have no idea how good the Euro's wind gust maps are. The sustained winds map is in the 30-50 mph range for comparison.

    FWIW They were fairly accurate for NE GA during Irma but that's the only time I've used them much. Probably a touch overdone but no surprise there.

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