Tyler Penland

Are we using this thread still for winter weather?

Imma be honest Im subscribed to this thread in Tapatalk and forgot about the other one. I'm good with shutting this one down so we can all forget this winter.

NAM is really intent on that (deform-ish?) band this evening laying down snow at elevation. Tries to work it down into Boone too around 0z.

Where was this when it was cold?

Don't look now but latest 3k NAM suggests possible flakes above 4k feet Tuesday night.

Why won't this winter just die already.

Came a big squall in Vilas a bit ago. Poured essentially graupel long enough to cover the grounds and roads briefly.

25 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

You're right, most of the nwf events this winter have been more westerly oriented.  I'd like to see Boone get a good surprise.  Those folks have been left out so much this season. 

With the way radar looks this could easily give us our biggest snow of the season if we don't lose too much to melting. GSP has 5" falling in Newland on their maps. 

A few pics from Roan.

Hopped up to the Roan Mountain Highlands after work today. Hard to say exactly how much fell because it was blown around so much but seemed to be widely 6-10" with drifts up to my waist and plenty of areas knee deep. Ill post some pics soon.

Another inch in foscoe. Season total up to 4".

Ha. Ha ha. Ha.

 

 

The amount of snow I've seen falling this year and the amount that has stuck are vastly unproportional.

Rates picked up a little bit but nothing sticking. Not overwhelming impressed with the look for tonight IMBY. Good luck to you guys in nw flow territory though.

Little flurries here in foscoe but the sun is still coming and going.

Right at an inch here in foscoe. We are usually the worst place in Watauga for nw flow so an inch is a win here.

Frankly anything is a win here this winter.

In Boone right now headed home Holy cow its dumping and windy.

2 minutes ago, AsheCounty48 said:

I mean it does show some decent precip forming with the initial rain band, but just after that is abysmal. We shall see over the next few hours though.

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Boone sounding during the heaviest precip. It'll be CLOSE with the surface crashing.

Although the overall totals arent hugely different. The HRRR looks a lot different than the Nam in terms of intensity at the onset of the changeover.

It's also initializing the current precip weaker/lighter than it really is.

Plenty of sun here and 55 so enough instability to get a little heavier precip going I would think. Just need temps to crash fast enough.

I wouldn't be surprised if there's a couple reports of thundersnow with that initial line along the front tomorrow. NAM looks fairly convective.

 

Only t-snow I've seen the last few years came from frontal lines falling as snow like this.

 

Little wet snow/rain stuff here at Publix in Boone. Nothing sticking. Nice little surprise though. Good on the GFS.

That little clipper system Friday looks interesting. 

Guys it took til almost March but I finally have MEASURABLE snow in my yard.

Still coming down hard in foscoe. Starting to add up now.

These bands coming out of TN are working wonders for the nw mountains right now.

Nice band moving in here visible on MRX. Rates starting to pick up. 

Yep. Coming down good now. 

Starting to stick here in foscoe. Rates up a bit from earlier.

Raysweather with one of the worst forecasts I have seen on Facebook... He is usually better than that 

He's decreased in quality and accuracy significantly since I moved up here in 2015. Used to check his page frequently now I rarely look at it for more than a laugh.

 Not exactly sure what to think with the less positive tilt to this look, but still thinking the precip shield expands north with more qpf. 
 

Yep. Right to the Watauga line most likely.

Remarkable that if the 12Z GFS is right, when the storm is over, north GA and Upstate of SC will have had more snow than mountain locales below 4,000 feet. Remarkable. 

As will Myrtle Beach, SC.

Not the first run to show this slider and the euro has been on board too.