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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    Also that's a crazy deep Christmas trough on the 18z GFS. Nearly sub-zero across the mountains.
  2. Tyler Penland
    RNK really downplaying any ice potential across NW NC and south/central VA tomorrow night. NAM is way overdone as usual but I have a hard time believing its going to bust that badly further north in areas where it shows predominately a snow/sleet event over a large part of VA. I guess we'll find out soon enough. Regardless might be a slick commute in on Thursday morning along the NW escarpment.
  3. Tyler Penland
    Yeah I'm not completely ruling this out. It would definitely be a localized event but the 12km develops a weak surface low which is just enough to drag lower DPs in from VA. Could spell trouble from Blowing Rock up through Mt Airy during the morning commute Thursday. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  4. Tyler Penland
    12km NAM is razor thin margins on ice in the northern foothills Wednesday night. Definitely not something to sleep on. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  5. Tyler Penland
    Starting to get excited now. Gonna get the snow gear ready this week, hopefully I need it sooner rather than later. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  6. Tyler Penland
    And the 0z is like "wat?" 500mb looks way different than the last several runs. Still a ways to go but I'm keeping my fingers crossed for some high elevation snow hiking on the 13th. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  7. Tyler Penland
    Assuming that blocking comes to pass. I'm hoping so but I'm not one to count unhatched chickens. Operational GFS has been hinting at the 11-13 time frame for a while now, though, so certainly something to watch.
  8. Tyler Penland
    Made it to 20.3 this morning. Currently 29.1/26.0. No interest in freezing rain, just bring me a cold rain. NAM/HRRR are very underwhelming for any impactful totals, especially the latest runs. I'm surprised the NWS has me getting up to an inch of snow, don't see that happening. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  9. Tyler Penland
    Sugar opening tomorrow, app ski and Beech opening later in the week. This cold snap is definitely good for business. I'm at Columbia in Blowing Rock peddling winter coats if anybody needs one. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  10. Tyler Penland
    Final total of 7.54" 6.47" of that since midnight. I'm good on rain for a bit. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  11. Tyler Penland
    Just hit 7". Probably get to 8 easily looking downstream. Road I live on is flooded for the first time I can remember. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  12. Tyler Penland
    5.3" now, 4.23" since midnight. Rivers are absolutely roaring and flooding issues starting up. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  13. Tyler Penland
    3.3" already and it's absolutely pouring. Wind hasn't been terrible yet Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  14. Tyler Penland
    Already 7/10" and the system isn't even out of Florida yet. Actually a bit concerned about flooding up here, we got 2" that last event and really saturated the ground pretty good. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  15. Tyler Penland
    If this upcoming pattern on the GFS repeats in January we'll be in good shape. Slider after slider into the extended. It's had that Tuesday overrunning event on and off for the last 10 days. I'm hopeful it works out, would be a great birthday present. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  16. Tyler Penland
    I don't remember a tropical depression being forecast LOL Had some solid wind at the house last night and this morning. Took down a bunch of tree limbs and heard a couple trees fall up the hill. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  17. Tyler Penland
    Got a grand 0.03" last night. Better than nothing I suppose. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  18. Tyler Penland
    Snow ended around 10 and melted pretty quick. This was my goal for the morning, though. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  19. Tyler Penland
    Good morning! The snow got here overnight. Nice coating so far with looks like a decent amount downstream. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  20. Tyler Penland
    Ran into several good showers from Wytheville north today. Good dusting on the ground near Flat Top, WV. Been snowing on and off here around the gorge but no accumulation yet. Truck temp never got above 40 today. Pretty good camping weather Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  21. Tyler Penland
    28 here. Headed to the New River Gorge in a bit, hoping to see a little snow with the leaf color in that area tonight and tomorrow. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  22. Tyler Penland
    House shaking thunder and a quarter inch of much needed rain so far. Gonna be a fun week. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  23. Tyler Penland
    I expect we'll see the first round of high elevation flurries this upcoming week. Tuesday morning looks like a good bet. I wouldn't even be surprised to see a few flakes make it down in elevation a good bit as the trough really digs in. Not much moisture to work with but it's sure gonna be cold enough.
  24. Tyler Penland
    Had planned to hit up West Virginia next week for whatever leaves are left, particularly around the NRG but the models are telling me I might be changing seasons entirely. Looks like a good amount of snow in the mountains up there. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  25. Tyler Penland
    Yeah they're pretty solid. They held up decent through the rain but we'll see what the wind does tonight. However just be aware traffic is going to be a nightmare moreso than usual. The Wooly Worm Festival and Valle Crucis Fair are this weekend and we're expecting the biggest single day traffic influx of the year. Our business in Blowing Rock that day is comparable to Black Friday. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
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