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Tyler Penland

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Everything posted by Tyler Penland

  1. Tyler Penland
    This will be my first time seeing sub zero. I'm a bit excited about that, although I'm sure that will wear off quick. Lol Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  2. Tyler Penland
    37.8 and creeping downward here south of Boone. Weirdly calm out there. They hadn't touched the roads when I came home about 730. I think some secondaries had been done but none of the main roads yet. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  3. Tyler Penland
    I am so jealous of you guys with those Elk. I wish it was feasible to introduce them back up here but far too many people. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  4. Tyler Penland
    The almost definitely part is what concerns me. Probably overdone on temps but those kind of wind gusts aren't exactly unheard of. I believe the record is in the mid-70mph range. Even gusts of 60-65 would be problematic. Any power outages could be hard to reach with downed trees and a flash freeze. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  5. Tyler Penland
    18z HRRR has a minimum of - 14 in Boone. -19 on Beech. Max wind gust of 71MPH in Boone. They've actually shut Beech down for the next 2 days due to the conditions. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  6. Tyler Penland
    Well. That's concerning. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  7. Tyler Penland
    I wonder how the HRRR has been verifying out west. It keeps Boone below zero for over 24 hours with a low of -13 Saturday morning. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  8. Tyler Penland
    We had one for a while, didn't get back above freezing til a little before sunrise. Bypass area of Boone still had a decent glaze when I came through this morning at 9 as did a couple sections between Boone and BR. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  9. Tyler Penland
    She's a comin Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  10. Tyler Penland
    Currently sitting at 32.9/21.3 Interesting night ahead with the ZR. Hopefully the roads are cleared up by the time folks get up. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  11. Tyler Penland
    A 200 mile west shift at 5 days should almost be expected. Look what happened with the current system. This could easily NW trend itself into a decent storm. Or NW trend itself into a cutter. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  12. Tyler Penland
    Worth noting for the northern mountains at least the 3km NAM was a good improvement on snow. Basically no rain along the front just a snow squall. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  13. Tyler Penland
    The HRRR is on drugs. Has Boone to -12 at the end of its run with a -39 wind chill. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  14. Tyler Penland
    Yep pretty dry. Looks like a decent amount of moisture at 850mb behind the front. Should keep the NWFS going for a little while. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  15. Tyler Penland
    Looking at the 3km NAM a quick change to snow with the actual frontal passage appears pretty likely. I'm concerned it'll be a bit moisture starved but ratios will go from 0-100 real quick. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  16. Tyler Penland
    New minimum for Boone on the 12z GFS is -7. I'm curious to see if this verifies or not. The Euro is about 10 degrees warmer. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  17. Tyler Penland
    The CMC has been harping on this for several runs now. It's the most amped and is mostly rain except some zr/ip in the mountains.
  18. Tyler Penland
    The GFS has been trending in the right way for the past couple days. I think Met pointed out the CMC is actually beating the gfs/euro in the long range. Here's hoping. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  19. Tyler Penland
    Coldest run of the GFS for Boone yet. From 33 to 1 from 6-12z Friday and down to -1 by afternoon. Bottoms out at -3. Ive actually never seen below zero temps so that would be a first for me. Brrrrrrrrrr Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  20. Tyler Penland
    Negative. I peeked outside earlier to check when I seen them. Was hoping for flurries. Probably getting eaten up by the dry air. Currently 29/22. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  21. Tyler Penland
    Worth noting the NWFS on the backside looked better on this run of the GFS. I think border areas over 5k easily get a foot. Gonna be wringing a lot of moisture out. I'm also interested to see if this trends towards a temps-outrun-the-precip deal with a change to snow before the main frontal band actually moves out over the mountains. That cold push is SHARP. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  22. Tyler Penland
    Yeah the 3k looks weird. Not sure why it isn't kicking more moisture up. Issue is a wicked dry slot in the mid levels but the 12km and 32km don't have that issue. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  23. Tyler Penland
    New NAM coming in drier. Still really really close. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  24. Tyler Penland
    Classic case of globals severely underestimating the northern precip shield. Nothing has changed since 2014 with that trend. I wouldn't be surprised to see totals go up even more. Sent from my Pixel 5 using Tapatalk
  25. Tyler Penland
    And the Sat/Sun system can very very easily trend in our favor as well.
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