Tyler Penland

Hard to argue with how this winter went, although I certainly would've liked to have seen more than 5" at a time. I ended the year with right at 20", pretty solid and right on average. I've seen plenty of below-average winters since moving up here so an average year is a win for me.

That absolutely gorgeous December snow also gives a boost.

Just rolled into Daytona, heading down for the (hopeful) Artemis launch tomorrow. I always, and I mean every single time, forget how miserable the humidity is once you get south of the NC line. Brutal.

We must've gotten under a nice band overnight because I went to bed at 1/2" and woke up to a solid 3". Very nice surprise!

Starting to cover the grass here in Blowing Rock now. Took forever to switch over but hammering now.

Webcams show switch to snow in Boone. Still rain here in Blowing Rock but I suspect for not much longer

Huge temp crash in Blowing Rock, down 10 degrees in the last 12 minutes.

The temperature trace in Franklin since 2AM is really something. From 55 to 35.

Wind absolutely howling this evening. Fun 24 hours ahead no doubt.

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Got a couple confirmed reports of snow in the North Georgia mountains even around Suches. 

Been coming down hard in Blowing Rock since about 10. Good dusting on the grass now and WINDY. Sounds like a jet on our roof at times.

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18z 3km NAM was on board with the light icing across the NW mountains on Monday. 0z running now. Shouldn't be anything significant but a little glaze along the escarpment possible. Big difference to the beautiful weather today.

5 hours ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

GSP mentioned in their afternoon AFD of a potential for a wintry mix Monday and Tuesday for the higher elevations.

18z GFS is a pretty widespread CAD event. Definitely an interesting pattern with the wedge in place.

Naturally I am down in Georgia with snow up there for the third straight trip. Wife measured 3.5" on the board though, solid storm. Headed back up this afternoon hopefully roads are clearer.

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15 hours ago, WNC_Fort said:

I’m up in blowing rock and just had a nice burst of snow. Lasted about 10 mins been rain ever since

Well, I guess the HRRR was only mostly out to lunch. Sweet- it was the only model that even had that possible.

It is probably completely out to lunch, but the HRRR is very, very close to snow along the escarpment as the low moves through Sunday. 

20 minutes ago, NCBlizzard said:

100% haha. My other half says that's too far from "things"... Alas, so ideally like within ~20-30 minutes of the general Boone/Blowing Rock or Asheville area.

 

Ha fair point. I'm not sure if Boone really qualifies as having "things" but the map does look pretty spot on for my area of the county at least.

Seven Devils would be a good option- I live in Foscoe just down from it and the upper end towards Hawks Nest does really, really well. The Tynecastle/Banner Elk area as a whole is pretty solid with a pretty big drop-off towards Valle Crucis to the north and Linville to the south. 

Obviously Beech is fantastic but the trek up and down can get annoying.

If anyone has a moment, I’d love your thoughts on this “NW-flow snow favorability” map (especially whether it’s capturing the patterns you’d expect). Mobile is a bit rough unless you rotate to landscape. I’ve wanted mountain property for decades, so I’m doing as much pre-analysis as I can haha.
http://44.197.87.201:3839

Don't look now, but....

Right at 2" here at the house. 

NAM really keying in on the little shortwave tomorrow across the Northern Mountains again.

23 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

KJKL radar looks pretty juicy. Delayed but not denied. 

Yeah not bad. Can hear a few gusts up the hill now. Interestingly our power flickered earlier but its been dead calm ever since. 

Considering making my annual freeze-my-butt-off trip to Grayson Highlands tomorrow. Always a fun adventure consisting of trying not to freeze while also remaining upright.

Very underwhelming here so far- hopefully we see it pick up soon but currently on 29.7 with a dusting from the first round. Very little precip since then, even the Beech Mt cams look like not much going on besides some clouds.

Absolutely dumped here in Blowing Rock for a while. It's calmed down now, waiting for the NWF to kick in. Winds are still mostly calm although I suspect that will change shortly.

Yep here she comes.

20 minutes ago, acc fan said:

Tyler, is this a good setup for Boone?

Yeah, especially the CCTI side of town. The bypass area always scores during these type systems. Can see some wide variance from the bypass towards Deep Gap but the NAM has pretty deep moisture for a while tomorrow afternoon/night. 

I've said this a few times this year and I've yet to see any, but once again the 3km NAM looks convective with that initial band tomorrow. At some point one of us has to get lucky with some T-snow. 

Otherwise this looks spectacular. Outside chance I actually get more from this than I did last weekend. We only ended with 5" last weekend, and NAM supports 6-8" at the house. Flow direction is pretty good for me. Banner Elk should definitely be a hotspot this time.