I was saying with a strong screamer to transport 50’s /60’s up into New England combined with the WBN SST’s south of us that you’re not going to get warm sectored like that . Not without strong storm cutting and wind transport
Feb looks warm ish . I’m not getting a great feeling moving forward. I’ve been perfectly content with what we’ve had the last month . I had this same uneasy feeling last winter. Hopefully it’s wrong
Pattern does not look overly favorable to me . I think most here are all set with mild in the winter which other than NNE doesn’t offer much snow chance. Actually reminds me of last winter somewhat after the 11th
Think back to last week when models had 40’s up there and MHT struggled above 32. It’ll likely be same kind of deal unless that parent low really ramps up much more than modeled . Need strong SE winds for that to happen
This cold fall /winter has done a number . It’s also going to force baroclinic zone south . With no screamer and strong winds it’s Virtually impossible to get into the 50’s other than far SE Mass .
Makes little difference other than MPM expecting 50’s/ 60’s for New England. Without a screamer that’s very hard to do in January especially with the WBN SST’s to the south
That HP up there certainly does. Even the Wednesday event has mesolow which keeps most cold . The weekend will rain but it won’t be a screamer or mild rain north of about Philly