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Damage In Tolland

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  1. 70’s CT.. 50 E MA today . North Atlantic FTL
  2. 12z has 40-60 mph gusts across region. We’ll see how things shake out this week as we get closer
  3. 60’s and 70’s next 2 days away from that awful North Atlantic . Cannot wait to tan . https://x.com/darrensweeney/status/1777002405822971950?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  4. Everything taut , tight , and at full attention.
  5. One more win . I don’t see any blooms wilted around here. Forsythia loaded with yellow
  6. After the huge screamer with winds and rain this week next weekend and beyond looks relatively nice EPS
  7. Strong/Damaging Winds... As for the wind threat the EPS continues to be more amped up. The EPS indicates winds 2-3 STD above model climo, but the V component (north/south) is around 3-3.5 STD above model climo. As for the NAEFS the winds are around 2-2.5 STD, while the V component is 2.5- 3 STD above model climo. Both sources indicate most anomalous winds at 850 hPa, which makes sense as deterministic guidance showing a 50- 80+ kt southerly jet impinging on our region. The big question on the winds is the exact timing and typically it is a bit more difficult to mix down southerly winds this time of year. This risk could be increased especially in areas where heavier rain slides through or with thunderstorm activity.
  8. That end of week storm has big wind signatures this far out. Floods, trees, lines, bridges, lifts … all coming down The risk of heavy rain, and perhaps stronger winds, is highlighted with NAEFS situational awareness table of PWATs already of 1.5 to 2.5 STD above model climo for the Northeast. We`ve also got winds roughly 1.5 to 2 STD above model climatology with perhaps a more amped up southerly component as the V component is 2-2.5 STD above model climo in the Thu-Fri timeframe.
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