If you look at many of the ensembles (Aifs) as an example. They build a WAR along the East coast. It’s not gonna be 100 but looks solidly above normal . I mean it’s back into the 90’s later next week
That kind of shows the concerns. Very narrow area of big rains . With sharp cutoff not far north . Convective processes gonna F with models until Monday morning runs . Hopefully an inch here
Hopefully HRRR is wrong with the storms tonight missing here to the south and instead we actually get some rain . If that happens and they get crushed 5-10 miles SW I may light fireworks into neighbors windows. For now radar looks semi promising
You’ve had double the rain this summer. We Had 2.6 all of June and .10 this month. When this ends up coastal CT south Imma lose it . Look at that sharp cutoff . Tell tale sign when you see that
It seems like a lot of folks are thinking 2-3 and higher amounts will be common. Would be great if correct. I won’t buy it until we see how things look early morning Monday
Scooter is really good at sniffing these out and which ones are legit vs BS, which narrow zones might be favored etc. Dude has close to a million posts and the day we need him he’s laying at the bottom of Winni
If this was winter these wet n wild Mets would be so conservative when they should be gung ho. In summer it’s rains gone wild when so many things could go wrong . Interfering to note
Subject to change .. but I’ve been thinking .5- .75 .. if lucky 1” If happen to get a storm today that’s not included
Enjoy the 4th . It’s as hot as a firecracker
https://x.com/barstoolsports/status/2073385963242340699?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg