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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That’s what she said? -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Here’s why they expanded. We’ll see if it works or not. expanded the Winter Weather Advisory to include; western zones of Franklin and Hampshire Counties, Worcester County, Tolland and Windham Counties, most of Rhode Island, and all of southeast Massachusetts. Here we feel there is the best potential for 2-4" with the higher of the totals on the western facing hills, due to upsloping from the southwest flow. Forecast Details: Quiet through the rest of the daylight hours, then a robust 850mb shortwave races through southern New England this evening through early tomorrow morning. This feature has near normal moisture to work with, PWATs of 0.3" to 0.4" doesn`t sound overly too impressive, but is enough to work with. Looking through BUFKIT forecast soundings, there is good saturation and OMEGA/lift in the dendritic growth zone (DGZ), with light to moderate snow for several hours 2am to 6am. HREF supportive of this idea, with probabilities between 30% and 60% for snowfall rates 1+" an hour during this time across Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts. As mentioned above, those traveling late tonight or tomorrow morning will want to plan accordingly as slick travel is expected. There is a level of uncertainty around how far north the warm air reaches, for the time being confidence for the northern extent is Nantucket. It is there the best chance for rain to mix with the snow. Elsewhere, remains cold enough to stay snow. Additionally, southwest flow enhances snow potential due to orographic lift/upslope along western facing hills of northeastern Connecticut, central Massachusetts... even western hills of Rhode Island benefit from an upslope component. Finally, the shortwave moves off shore early Thursday morning, followed with an Arctic front midmorning, with additional snow showers or possibly snow squalls. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah I recall that one too. I think there were two snowfalls that same week -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We cut ours day after Tgiving and by now it’s as brittle as Scooter after another winter rainer. Needles fall off as you walk by.. not to mention fire hazard. My wife likes it up till at least NYD so I lose that one . Probably will be this weekend -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I’ve been in town since Summer of 2000, and that was far and away the most localized event . There’s been a bunch of less impressive ones from like hilltop to 500 feet but nothing like that one -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I don’t think so . He was here a few different times over the years , but maybe he was for that one -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I remember models kept showing it and we never fully believed it. The radar had the snow falling over the valley but it all fell over the hills. Was fascinating event . It was torched away less than 2 days later . Here’s that radar https://imgur.com/a/E6cdjp4#w4DU9Zm -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Thankfully you’ve been wrong all winter -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You wonder if anyone does -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah I don’t think 4” is reasonable but 3” wouldn’t be shocking -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
The TOL and ORH hills down to Moosup do well on SW upslope . We’ve seen it quite a few times over the years -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Enjoy the ice pack till Morch there -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That mild few days might be 30’s -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Theres another light snow event Sunday night/ Monday -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Just took down all the Xmas lights on house and bushes. Some semi buried in snow/ice, but with a few snow events over the next week and cold, didn’t want them to get more buried . If only could get the tree out the house today -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Easily there -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
2 days in a row we are in agreement. Folks better mark this down -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
One thing to note is we’ve had a fast PAC flow since early autumn. And one coastal Noreaster in fall. No one should be or have been expecting coastals this winter. You like to see a bunch in fall to set precedent . Fast flows do not deliver big east coast coastals -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yeah Reggie has 1-2” with initial batch and a bit more with squalls . Trough really digging -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Tonight’s is 2 -4 there . Another 2-4 Monday.. then we’ll see mid week . Hopefully you have a Ring so you can watch it vicariously -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Snow tonight, snow Sunday night/ Monday and snow Jan 6. Wouldn’t call that quiet. You’ll miss a few snowfalls -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
There’s been no SE ridge all winter -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Every time they’ve tried to warm up they reverse back to cold since the fall. Same thing will happen again
