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Damage In Tolland

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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland

  1. Tick tick.. hear the footsteps the 00z Euro ensembles offer a wider distribution of possible outcomes with 12 of the 50 members (~25%) having a big hit for southern New England with at least 1 inch of qpf. That`s an uptick from 9 - 12z members. So given the time range here and the complex interaction between streams all 3 different outcomes remain in play which include 1) out to sea, 2) a glancing blow to 3) a direct hit
  2. They always are low. It’s coming and it’s a no doubter. Again not a bomb.. but a nice 4-8” er
  3. Following past years storms to a T. Again. Refusal to admit it
  4. You saw it.. can you please describe how many members were north and the spread ? I haven’t seen them yet.. so was curious . TIA
  5. Creeping and tiptoeing? Like a man creeping into neighbors yards for snow measurements wearing nothing but snowpants with suspenders ?
  6. I’d suggest you find another hobby. One that you can understand a little better, so as not to publicly humiliate yourself . It’s almost like you just got caught naked in the front picture window
  7. Thank you for reeling it in. That was embarrassing
  8. Yeah Dick T had done that for countless snowstorms over the years , citing how many Euro runs in a row have kept it a Mid Atlantic storm . We all recall those posts. And then we all recall him losing it as the storm ends up bringing snows to the northeast while he rains and slots . This ones no different . You can predict the evolution of both to a T. T as in Tolleris
  9. Gibbs pointed it out this AM on texts. It was a bump
  10. No doubt the it’s coming now. Big bump nw EPS
  11. This has zero chance of cutting inland lol. Like absolutely zero. Maybe less than zero.,
  12. I also think it’s possible it’s a poster that currently posts with another account as well.
  13. He asked for Isotherms thoughts, so I copied and pasted from his winter thread on main page. Follow along weens
  14. Sensible weather wise -- no changes from my initial post on Nov. 23 which postulated the retraction/reset period in Dec 10th-16th, and thereupon, rearrangement of features with a rapidly improving hemispheric regime shortly after the mid month point +/- three days. I maintain that notion. The week period of December 12th-18th will likely feature warmer than normal temperatures; however, heights should neutralize in the East by the 17th-18th already, with normalizing temperatures. The retrogression of the GOAK trough will be occurring concomitantly in the December 14th-18th period, and as we approach the 20th, all disparate domains will be increasing in favorability (e.g., PNA, NAM, NAO), such that the final third of December is interesting winter weather wise. The 9th period remains a distinct threat as well, as originally noted on the 23rd to monitor the 7th-11th period.  As an aside, a displacement event favors North America (compared to Europe) for "winter" weather, and even if the SPV is displaced away from the continent, that does not implicate "all the cold air" will be taken with it. Quite the contrary, actually, as the geopotential height structure would be conducive for tropospheric, high-latitude blocking.
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