Jackstraw

Yeah Its a Wonderful Life style flakes lol. Decent band setting up right on top. Gonna enjoy what I can get!

I agree. It really is strange though. We've been seeing upwards of 50 degree temp swings in 24-48 hours the past couple weeks. KIND calling for lowest temps since 2014 but preceded by rain. Im used to being on the knifes edge around here but this is kinda nuts. WAA coming from every direction the colder it gets!

I'll be happy if I can get 2 to 4 over the next 5 days just to get some cover for the cold blast it's pretty crazy with all of this cold air finally dropping in every time we get some snow it's getting erased then sub zero temps move in. Very strange pattern around here with the deep cold followed by quick warmth then deep cold.

I've seen model soundings like that before in the mountains out west and in Alaska. Don't think Ive seen it around here though.

Finished with -8

I'm trying not to complain, Ive had 2 decent systems, better than Ive had in 4 or 5 years, in the last 2 weeks. But the torch, 45 degrees and rain, today wiped out an 8 inch pack. Climo in my area doesn't favor big dogs but even when I get a semi big one I get the 850 blues after (cue Lightnin Hopkins). With a forecast clipper choo choo coming there's still hope for a decent pack for a few weeks. We usually do well ridin' the train. I'm going to give a mid-winter B- so far.

Happy for ya! Our snow pack got annihilated today. Just hoping we can cash in on a few inches over the next week to cover up this frozen muck lol.

Back to normal lol

There's gonna be a late night surprise for some

The defo band that just left here is barely 20 miles to my east. I just spent 2 hours with 4 dogs in my old truck 420 with Cold Rain and Snow cranked driving around in it because well I'm just an idiot. It's got the potential to drop 4 inches in a couple hours. Don't be discouraged points east, especially if this thing starts phasing. Models be damned, there's gonna be some decent totals in Central Ohio somewhere. But more than that, this damn wind is keeping it snowing after it stops lol

I totally agree!

Lol, its coming your way trust me. May not be the high end totals but it's coming. The lasting power of the warm layer is pretty fascinating. Edit: The ridge is 15 to 20 mb's weaker than modeled earlier in the week also.

Been pound town here for the last 2.5 hours. Winding down now but definitely 1-2 in/hr rates for most of the defo.. We might have 4 total hard to say. Been out drift busting though, man what a blast. I'm on the edge of town and out in the country is fun city!! Visibility down to my windshield lol. Totals get a 2 on the 10 scale, blowing and drifting snow a 12! You guys that are getting the big snows look out, this wind means business.

Busted lol

Got maybe an 1 1.5 inches There's still hope! lol Mesoscale Discussion 0031 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0321 PM CST Sat Jan 19 2019 Areas affected...Southern Illinois...far western Kentucky...and west central into central Indiana. Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 192121Z - 200015Z SUMMARY...Rain, freezing rain, and sleet will continue to transition to snow from northwest to southeast with moderate to heavy snowfall expected across this area through the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening. DISCUSSION...In the last hour, winds have shifted to northerly up to 2 km on the KIND and KVWX VWP as the 850mb low has started to shift east of that longitude. This has started to switch rain to snow across portions of this area with a continued transition expected over the next several hours. The developing deformation band will likely have snowfall rates in excess of an inch per hour. Therefore, significant snowfall accumulations are likely through the evening before the system shifts east and drier air moves into the area. In addition to the impacts from the rapidly accumulating snowfall, winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts as high as 40 mph will cause significant blowing and drifting and visibility restrictions. This will become particularly impactful during the evening hours as a colder airmass advects into the area and leads to a drier snow which will be more prone to blowing and drifting. ..Bentley.. 01/19/2019

Looks like southern IN is getting hammered. Thought those returns were IP/ZR but stations reporting heavy snow.

I can tell you the rural areas around here are going downhill fast. In town not so bad but all roads are snow/ice shellacked now. We've had maybe 1 1.5 inches of snow but there are 2 foot drifts on the roads (we still had about 3 inch snow pack but it was crusted on top). WSW in this area are definitely warranted if for nothing else just the blowing snow and the borderline warning criteria ice from earlier. I think the defo is going to perform at least for areas to my E and SE from radar and sat WV. Might even get me something decent as the cold air isn't really crashing in like I thought it would. At least in my area anyone bitching just hasn't been out in this. and here we should have 4 or 5 hours to go. Very impressive and under modeled WAA with this thing IMHO. Those that get under the sweet spot where it begins to stop (NE IN/NW OH?) will be happy.

Plumes spitting out 8 inches for Muncie . IWX still somewhat confident on some heavy snows tonight.... Storm total amounts will vary quite a bit across the area. Areas across southern Lower Michigan received around 6 inches of snow last night with the leading mid level warm advection/fgen band last night, and added several additional inches today. Another area of max storm totals will likely orient along and southeast of a line from roughly southeast of a line from Wauseon, OH to Fort Wayne, IN to Marion, IN. Depending on band evolution cannot discount possibility of some reports over 10 inches for the extreme southeast across northeast Indiana/northwest Ohio along and south of Route 24.

yep we could have artificial thunder snow with transformers blowing lol.

As was said f#$k this storm lol...

Part 2 setting up in southern IL along the IL/IN border. There's still hope

Go to that show! We Banjo 3 are awesome!

I'm going to take an armchair guess and it was something that concerned me all week I don't think the globals were handling the convection down south and the heat content being pumped up from the gulf very well. that's why we would see a run with 6 inches then a run with 15 then a run with 6. Like Buckeye when I saw that NAM run it really perked my ears. It is the NAM, but it usually sniffs out the WAA pretty well. On top of that the globals never got their shit together on where and when any phasing would occur, a lot of that due to not handling the heat pump from the south well in the first place. Plus no full sampling of the SW until less than 24 hours out really didn't help either. I never fully bought into this storm as soon as I saw it go from progressive to a late cutter. I did expect a little more than what I've gotten and definitely didn't expect the amount of ice here over 1/4 inch. It's not over by any means and I think points to my east should do fairly well as the evening progresses. Just my weenie thoughts

Nah, I'd bet your good for 4 to 6. Think the cutoff is gonna be from an Indy to Muncie line. As Jay said that cold air is going to come in like a rocket, already is on meso analysis, and be a liitle too much too late for me. Your closer to the energy and should get a couple more hours of snow than I will