LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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Its not even in the same ballpark as the GFS at H5.
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Clicking through the Ai, it’s awfully warm along 95 during the “snow”. Starts at 35-36 and drops to 33 during the best of it towards the end. I’d be cautious with that as well
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Ukie a whiff east, just too broad
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Too many vorts to call any one solution more realistic than another. The setup is there and it just comes down to interactions and spacing.
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It’s sloppier at h5 at the critical moments. It’s ok to say it’s not as good as it was.
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H5 was wonky but less confluence helped it gain latitude on the cmc
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Rgem looks good to my eyes.
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Icon looked a little worse at h5 than 18z. Further east
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Damn 3.1” of liquid at Salisbury and 27.5 of snow. Watch yo roof!
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It’s a hit
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Surface stays east, though. May need to go back to H5 school. lol
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To me the ICON looks better at h5 than 12z.
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UKIE looking CMC like, mabye not quite as amped but a good step.
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Definitely, Probably light rain to fatties during the transition. Just need the heavies
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Closed H5 low going right across the NC/VA border. Sweet.
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Rain in the cities at 102, snow west of there, super amped.
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CMC looks real good at 96
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As noted previously, CMC looks like the RGEM through 84.
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Need this thing to really amp and wrap up. Surface temps are terrible even with the digital blue. A nice step forward for a change though.
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Nary a sprinkle on the Ukie either. Did we miss a hurricane hunter plane out there today? Everything looks extremely similar minus the Ais.
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12z to 0z.
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GFS is awfully flat through 93 compared to 12z.
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Pretty big change at 108 for the strength of the SW.
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I could see it start out 8-1 and if we get into a consolidated CCB, we have historically done ok in those with 12-1 or so. PSU and Mappy Land will exceed that. IF it happens at all.
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Based on soundings (yes I'm bored and looking at UKIE soundings), its snow from HR126 and later. Such a shallow warm nose and the surface is 33-34 to start
