LP08

Euro ejects the SS SW...GFS leaves it behind.  This is only HR84. 

Trough sharper than 0z.   Man its nice.

Just pounding here in Arlington….Awesome!

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Looks like sleet starting to show on CC north of RIC on lwx radar. Dox radar shows it from Cambridge to Solomons. The fight will be on soon. 

Let’s get the yellows here first and I’ll be happy.  Awesome day

Steady light snow in Arlington.  24/17

Just now, Baltimorewx said:

Could anyone post the link to the co-efficient radar? Obviously going to be important to follow today 

@mattie g has it 

18° here in Arlington 

Couldn’t pass this up at Total Wine for the current storm…

4 minutes ago, RDM said:

Band of WSW's up just SW of Charlottesville down to SC...  

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Who would have thought Scranton would get rain a few days ago lol

3k nam gets at least 2-3hours of snow…#winning

10 minutes ago, Amped said:

Looks quite different to the trained eye.  Much stronger offshore flow.     That's Probably a 960mb bomb and a Hecs at 276 or maybe just offshore.

5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Is this really a thing? Maybe a little sliver of hope for a better outcome for those along the Fall Line. East of there this thing is totally dead Jim.

Mount Holly AFD-

A lot of focus remains on the Sunday into Monday system. A deepening low pressure system coming out of the southeastern U.S. will lift NE into New England from late Sunday into Monday. We continue to see relatively good agreement with an inland track (if anything there appears to be a slight shift further west with the latest model runs). Although guidance has been quite consistent on this track the last several runs, my one hesitation is that this turn north is going to be dependent on a second mid level trough (currently over northern Canada) digging southeast over the western Great Lakes by Sunday. This trough timing may be important for the timing of the southern low taking a turn further north. While the models appear to be rather consistent with this feature, it is not yet within the upper air network or the usable range for GOES satellites. Therefore, I still have a bit of uncertainty. All that being said, it is hard to ignore the consistency of guidance on the track thus far, so forecast favors a track with the low generally following the I-95 corridor through our region.

Every time someone mentions “better sampling” a weenie gets their wings.

Seems familiar. Haha

3 minutes ago, H2O said:

If anyone could post a map with the warmest 950s that wold be great.  Curious to see where the warm nose gets to.

Warmest 850 and 925.  Runs up and down 95 before hand.

GFS sure is trying to for next weekend.

GFS gives the wraparound love.

They would be the Bob Chill famous white asteroids in that band.  Soundings are close then.

1 minute ago, Amped said:

850 Low level jet it cranking, very far south, a sign this will probably be a historic large swath of heavy snow.  We probably won't be in it though,

 

Never good when the 500 vort is going to go north through western va...Yeesh that was ugly.

NS SW diving in quicker....Erie Express?

Lol, triple closed H5 over Arkansas.  F it, bring in the WAA hot and heavy.

Stronger H5 vort and further east than 0z.  Perhaps will help on the front end before that NW push.

NS Quicker as well.  through 72.