weatherwiz

seems to be some hints of that

The NAM may be overdone a bit but that's some serious 6-hr rainfall totals being spit out over a widespread area. How intense the convection ends up being across S PA and NJ will probably play a significant influence but the signal for flooding is kind of impressive. South coast is also best bet for any strong storms.

May have to worry about flooding issues tomorrow night south of the Pike.

The dynamics are pretty impressive for late June and height falls are pretty strong. Not sure how much sfc instability will remain after dark but some decent elevated CAPE to keep things going, especially south of the Pike. Maybe a threat for hail with the strongest storms overnight.

the inside of the car was a bit chilly.

I like to blast Taylor Swift/Eminem and sing in the car. Its hard to hear the lyrics with the windows open

Had to contemplate putting the heat on in the car for a bit this morning to take the chill out

We have much of Fall and winter to enjoy an airmass like this. People can deal with 2-3 months of intense heat and humidity

This "refreshing" airmass...sucks. It flat out sucks. Bring back the 90's and 70's dews.

Looking at Wednesday, looks like the EML timing does not coincide with the window for thunderstorm activity. Also looks like best potential may be southwest CT into NJ/PA.

Getting a light shower here

So many 's to chuck out this past page and a half.

I thought we would at least see a confirmed tornado or two as well. But I think the premise of everything worked. We were really only going to see several cells that really had potential. That initial stuff west of Vermont I think went up a bit too early and it prevented better heating. I remember seeing mesoanalysis only showing like 1000…maybe 1500 MLCAPE at the time. If there had been 1500-2000 it would have been different. But we all know/knew what the lack of EML meant in this setup. I always find these setups intriguing though because sometimes they will produce and sometimes they won’t. And that’s what really drives my interests in Convective weather because what really is that differentiator?

I think today went pretty exactly as expected.

FaceTiming with a friend in Danbury and got this

Back home in Springfield. After the storm passed in Brattleboro, I elected to go south and try and get to BDL for the cell coming into Connecticut. I debated on following that storm across southern New Hampshire, but not familiar with the road network and I always prefer to be at a spot setup ahead of storms rather than following them. Unfortunately, I was not going to make that cell into Hartford and as soon as I pull into my driveway it gets the TOR. Second day in a row the strongest rotation is over West Hartford lol. Fun storm though...had a barrage of CGs and loud thunder and three seconds of hail. I was thinking of going to Chesterfield and I saw there was a 1.50'' hail report.

Might head back towards bdl

Only lasted like 3 seconds ughh

Hail!!!!!!!

Just had a massive CG in front of me but camera was off because I changed spots

Lots of thunder

Made it here we’ll see what happens

Going to chesterfield

Yeah this MLCIN is kind of a killer right now. And back to socked in with clouds here. This could end up being better off to the south lmao

After this stuff pushes east I wonder if I should head back south in the event stuff blossoms over MA/N CT