The HRRR actually weakens the line relatively quickly into CT though maybe some weak supercells with the broken line? Just have to see how much instability we can penetrate in
The warm front progression for a SLP track just west of us is pretty impressive IMO. I wonder if the rapid pressure drop is helping to accelerate the warm front?
that line in the mid-Atlantic has a good amount of lightning with it. Models push some very impressive CAPE up this way just ahead of the line. Have to watch extremely closely how this line produces down in the mid-Atlantic. If they're getting nailed with damage we can expect that here.
That stuff coming up in SE PA might be aided by the H7 dry slot and is right on the nose of steeper lapse rates. Even on the nose of a secondary H5 jet max rounding the base of the trough